Trimble Inc. · TRMB · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Trimble Maintains Guidance as ARR Growth and AI Initiatives Advance

The call provides support for a constructive longer-term operating case through recurring-revenue growth, AI-enabled products, and subscription adoption. That case remains conditional because guidance was maintained rather than raised and management cited macro, tariff, sales-cycle, and divestiture-cost uncertainties.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $14.00B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.58
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $810.9M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.3% Up to 20 sessions
TRMBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the company shifted from raised guidance to maintained guidance with a more conservative tone. The current analysis adds evidence of 17% organic ARR growth, 25% field-systems subscription ARR growth, continued AI rollout, and ongoing cross-sell opportunities, while tariff and demand risks remain central.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained, but management took a modestly more conservative stance amid macro uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • Management described revenue and ARR as ahead of expectations, with organic ARR growth of 17%.
  • Subscription-based field systems showed 25% ARR growth, with more than half of new bookings from new logos.
  • AI remains a strategic priority across internal operations and customer-facing construction software.
  • The outlook still faces tariff, sales-cycle, public-sector, and divestiture-cost risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand AI capabilities in internal operations and customer solutions.
  • Cross-sell and upsell Trimble Construction One bundles.
  • Scale subscription-based machine-control and Guidance-as-a-Service offerings.
  • Invest in data-center, renewable, and mining opportunities, particularly in Europe.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation and subscription-model growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TRMB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.62 Q1 '25 actual $0.64, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.58 Q2 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.62 Q3 '25 actual $0.70, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.62 Q2 '26 actual $0.71, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.72 Q3 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.96 Q4 '26 actual $1.00, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.72 Q1 '27 actual $0.79, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.80 Q2 '27 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.86 Q4 '27 estimate $1.16 Q1 '28 estimate $0.87 Q2 '28 estimate $0.97
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy27 ratings
Bullish1763.0%
Neutral933.3%
Bearish13.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$59.83Current
$61Low
$82.33Average
$100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 14, 2026
Show 22 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $59.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$56.99 +33.7%Aug 19, 2026
BernsteinChad Dillard$73$55.64 +22.0%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$61$52.29 +2.0%Jul 14, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$80$63.42 +33.7%May 7, 2026
OppenheimerKristen Owen$86$68.88 +43.7%Feb 10, 2026
See 14 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Trimble Inc. develops and supplies technology solutions globally, empowering professionals and field workers to significantly improve or revolutionize their operational workflows. Through its Buildings and Infrastructure segment, the company delivers a comprehensive array of digital tools for the construction sector. This includes software for route planning, 3D design, and data exchange, along with systems for guiding construction machinery and for monitoring and managing assets, personnel, and equipment. The segment also offers advanced Building Information Modeling (BIM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), and project management platforms. Furthermore, it provides integrated solutions for site layout, measurement, cost estimation, scheduling, and project control, alongside specialized applications tailored for subcontractors and various trades. The Geospatial segment focuses on advanced surveying products, geographic information systems (GIS), and related geospatial technologies.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-25T23:39:36.997111+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T18:30:44.368770+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T18:30:44.366076+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.