The TJX Companies, Inc. · TJX · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

TJX raises guidance as transaction-led demand remains strong

The quarter supports a constructive view of TJX's demand and earnings trajectory: transaction-led comparable-sales growth, a raised outlook and continued expansion point to resilient execution. The main test is whether margin gains remain durable as freight, wages, currency and international execution create offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $156.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.96 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +4.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.47B Consensus $13.31B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.1% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +5.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.6% Up to 20 sessions
TJXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter shows stronger operating momentum: guidance sentiment moved from lowered to raised, comparable-sales growth accelerated from 3% to 4%, and management added detail on international expansion through Brands for Less and Grupo Axo. Store expansion and transaction growth remain central to the story.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year pretax margin and EPS guidance after the quarter's sales and earnings beat.

Key takeaways

  • Comparable sales increased 4%, driven by higher customer transactions across all divisions.
  • Management emphasized vendor relationships, merchandise availability and the durability of its off-price model.
  • Expansion remains a priority, including a planned store base of about 6,300 locations and new international partnerships.

Management priorities

  • Expand the store base toward approximately 6,300 locations.
  • Execute fall and holiday merchandising with a good-better-best mix.
  • Develop international opportunities through the Grupo Axo joint venture and Brands for Less investment.
  • Use marketing, online offerings and consumables to support traffic and cross-shopping.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TJX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1.12 Q4 '24 actual $1.22, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.87 Q1 '25 actual $0.93, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.92 Q2 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.01 Q2 '26 actual $1.10, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.23 Q3 '26 actual $1.28, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.39 Q4 '26 actual $1.43, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.02 Q1 '27 actual $1.19, beat Q2 '27 estimate $1.19 Q2 '27 actual $1.22, beat Q3 '27 estimate $1.35 Q4 '27 estimate $1.50
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy53 ratings
Bullish4584.9%
Neutral713.2%
Bearish11.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$141.49Current
$67Low
$137.48Average
$198High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 14, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 20, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Accumulate BuyMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 48 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $141.49. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$152$135.14 +7.4%Aug 31, 2026
JefferiesCorey Tarlowe$145$139.48 +2.5%Aug 26, 2026
BernsteinAneesha Sherman$175$140.46 +23.7%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIMichael Binetti$173$144.5 +22.3%Aug 20, 2026
Gordon Haskett Capital CorporationAnalyst unavailable$155$144.5 +9.5%Aug 20, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs.…

Historical context

All TJX earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-14T00:20:40.815397+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-14T00:20:40.812542+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-14. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.