Teradyne, Inc. · TER · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Teradyne: AI compute strength offsets HBM and robotics risks

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: AI compute, custom ASICs, and power-semiconductor testing provide growth avenues, while flat memory expectations, robotics losses, HBM digestion, and execution risks argue against treating growth as broad-based.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $54.01B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.91
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $740.9M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.7% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.5% Up to 20 sessions
TERSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds the planned acquisition of Infineon's internal tester development team, new emphasis on power-semiconductor testing, and greater focus on System Level Test. It also frames 2025 growth as low-single-digit in SOC share, flat in memory, and modest in robotics.

Guidance delta

Management maintained the 2025 outlook: low-single-digit SOC share gains, flat memory, and modest robotics growth.

Key takeaways

  • AI compute and custom ASIC demand drove the Semiconductor Test rebound, with roughly 50% compute-VIP share cited in the analysis.
  • Memory test revenue grew 30% on HBM and DRAM demand, while management expects memory to be flat in 2025.
  • Robotics remains challenged; AI-enabled products, restructuring, and go-to-market changes are intended to improve profitability.
  • The company plans to acquire Infineon's internal tester development team and increase focus on power-semiconductor testing.
  • The central question is whether AI compute growth can offset HBM digestion, industrial weakness, and execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand VIP ASIC coverage and maintain roughly 50% compute-VIP share.
  • Accelerate the power-semiconductor test roadmap through the Infineon team acquisition.
  • Deploy AI-enabled UR and MiR products and consolidate their go-to-market effort.
  • Increase focus on System Level Test within Integrated System Test.
  • Execute the stated 2025 share-repurchase plan while continuing the dividend policy.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TER EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.71 Q4 '23 actual $0.79, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.33 Q1 '24 actual $0.51, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.77 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.78 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.54 Q2 '25 actual $0.57, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.79 Q3 '25 actual $0.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.38 Q4 '25 actual $1.80, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.11 Q1 '26 actual $2.56, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.04 Q3 '26 estimate $2.08 Q4 '26 estimate $1.43 Q1 '27 estimate $2.26

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy28 ratings
Bullish1864.3%
Neutral1035.7%
Bearish00.0%

2 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$309.76Current
$116Low
$270.42Average
$550High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Baird Neutral OutperformDowngradeAug 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 30, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $309.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$397$361.79 +28.2%Jul 30, 2026
Robert W. BairdQuinn Fredrickson$420$359.71 +35.6%Jul 30, 2026
Evercore ISIVedvati Shrotre$420$357.42 +35.6%Jul 30, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$465$320.65 +50.1%Jul 28, 2026
UBSTimothy Arcuri$500$340.06 +61.4%Jul 20, 2026
See 75 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Teradyne, Inc., established in 1960 and headquartered in North Reading, Massachusetts, is a global leader specializing in the creation, production, sale, and maintenance of automated testing solutions. The company's operations are categorized into four principal divisions: 1. Semiconductor Test: This segment delivers solutions for testing microchips at both the wafer and finished device package stages. These capabilities serve a wide array of sectors, including automotive, industrial, telecommunications, consumer electronics, mobile devices, cloud computing, and gaming. Notable offerings include the FLEX test platform, the J750 system for high-volume semiconductor testing, the Magnum platform specialized for memory components like flash and DRAM, and the ETS platform, which caters to the analog/mixed-signal markets for chip makers and outsourced assembly/test providers.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-20T00:23:27.258500+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T11:30:43.194644+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T11:30:43.191868+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.