Sysco Corporation · SYY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q2 2026

Sysco Q3 FY2026: Volume Accelerates but $29.1B Restaurant Depot Deal Steals the Spotlight

Sysco delivered its strongest local case volume growth in three years at 3.3%, with revenue up 4.7% to $20.5B, but the quarter was dominated by the announcement of a $29.1 billion acquisition of Jetro Restaurant Depot—a transformative deal that adds a cash-and-carry retail channel while pushing leverage to ~4.5x. Management reaffirmed FY26 adjusted EPS at the high end of $4.50-$4.60 and outlined a disciplined 24-month deleveraging path to 3.5x. The stock fell 2.6% on the report, reflecting deal-size and leverage concerns, but subsequently recovered +2.5%. With the current price of $85.32 still below the $91.00 consensus target, the market appears to be weighing execution risk against the strategic upside of the acquisition.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $40.80B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.94 Consensus $0.94
EPS surprise -0.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $20.52B Consensus $20.56B
Revenue surprise -0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.5% Up to 20 sessions
SYYSPY benchmark

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What changed

From Q2 to Q3, the most significant shift was the scale of M&A: last quarter's tuck-in Ginsburg Foods deal was eclipsed by the $29.1B Restaurant Depot acquisition. Local case volume accelerated from 1.2% to 3.3%, the strongest in three years. Management moved from raising guidance to merely maintaining it at the high end of $4.50-$4.60, likely reflecting integration uncertainty. Share repurchases were suspended for the remainder of FY26 to prioritize deleveraging. The AI360 platform added a new Swap & Save feature, building on the >95% weekly usage achieved in Q2.

Guidance delta

Prior quarter: raised. Current quarter: maintained. FY26 adjusted EPS guidance reaffirmed at the high end of $4.50-$4.60. No raise despite volume acceleration, likely reflecting uncertainty from the Restaurant Depot acquisition and associated integration costs.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 4.7% YoY to $20.5B with 3.3% local case volume growth—the strongest in three years.
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.94 narrowly missed the $0.945 consensus estimate by 0.5%.
  • The $29.1B Restaurant Depot acquisition adds a cash-and-carry channel with $250M in targeted annual cost synergies.
  • Management reaffirmed FY26 adjusted EPS at the high end of $4.50-$4.60 and suspended share repurchases for the remainder of FY26.
  • A deleveraging plan targets net leverage of 3.5x within 24 months from ~4.5x post-close, and ultimately 2.75x.
  • The stock fell 2.6% on the report but subsequently drifted +2.5%.

Management priorities

  • Integrate Restaurant Depot and realize $250M in net cost synergies by year 3.
  • Open 5-6 new Restaurant Depot locations per year, targeting ~125 net new stores over the long term.
  • Reduce net debt leverage to 3.5x within 24 months and to 2.75x thereafter.
  • Continue AI360 and Swap & Save rollout to drive sales productivity and local case growth.
  • Maintain dividend growth while suspending share repurchases for the remainder of FY26.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.88 Q2 '24 actual $0.89, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.95 Q3 '24 actual $0.96, match Q4 '24 estimate $1.38 Q4 '24 actual $1.39, match Q1 '25 estimate $1.13 Q1 '25 actual $1.09, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.39 Q4 '25 actual $1.48, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.12 Q1 '26 actual $1.15, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.98 Q2 '26 actual $0.99, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.94 Q3 '26 actual $0.94, match Q4 '26 estimate $1.51 Q4 '26 actual $1.53, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.19 Q2 '27 estimate $1.06 Q3 '27 estimate $1.00
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1860.0%
Neutral930.0%
Bearish310.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$82.3Previous close
$84Low
$90.3Average
$102High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 15, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainAug 5, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 25 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $82.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$91$80.97 +10.6%Oct 15, 2026
GuggenheimJohn Heinbockel$90$79.6 +9.4%Sep 16, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$84$82.79 +2.1%Aug 5, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$85$73.37 +3.3%Apr 29, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$84$73.37 +2.1%Apr 28, 2026
See 43 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of various food and related products to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and internationally. It operates through U.S. Foodservice Operations, International Foodservice Operations, SYGMA, and Other segments. The company distributes frozen food, such as meat, seafood, fully prepared entrées, fruits, vegetables, and desserts; canned and dry food products; fresh meat and seafood products; dairy products; beverages; imported specialties…

Historical context

All SYY earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T04:51:50.968915+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T04:51:50.966075+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.