F5, Inc. · FFIV · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026

F5 pairs AI-security investment with 8%-9% FY27 growth outlook

The current analysis supports the hypothesis that resilient demand and earnings growth can strengthen F5's trajectory over the next year, but the case depends on converting AI bookings into sustained revenue while absorbing higher investment and managing component risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $26.14B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.26
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $884.0M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
FFIVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

F5 moved from the prior quarter's raised FY26 outlook to an FY27 framework of 8%-9% revenue growth, double-digit product growth, and 33%-35% non-GAAP operating margin. AI bookings, sovereign deployments, and planned sales and marketing expansion became more prominent, while operating leverage and the durability of systems demand remain key questions.

Guidance delta

Management maintained a confident outlook, calling for FY27 revenue growth of 8%-9%, double-digit product growth, and 33%-35% non-GAAP operating margin.

Key takeaways

  • FY26 revenue reached $3.4 billion, with product revenue up 23% and Q4 product growth at 23%.
  • Direct AI bookings topped $100 million, up 300% year over year, spanning AI security, data delivery, and AI factory load balancing.
  • Management cited large financial-sector wins and sovereign AI deployments in Asia and Europe.
  • F5 plans to double AI-security specialist sales headcount and more than double related marketing spend in FY27.
  • F5 Insight reached more than 200 customers within three months of launch.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI security through additional specialist sales capacity and marketing.
  • Expand AI data delivery features, including S3 and MCP protocol support.
  • Build AI Guardrails and AI factory load balancing for sovereign AI deployments.
  • Continue expanding global POP infrastructure for distributed cloud services.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FFIV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.87 Q2 '24 actual $2.91, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.97 Q3 '24 actual $3.36, beat Q4 '24 estimate $3.45 Q4 '24 actual $3.67, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.51 Q3 '25 actual $4.16, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.97 Q4 '25 actual $4.39, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.64 Q1 '26 actual $4.45, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.46 Q2 '26 actual $3.90, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.00 Q3 '26 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '26 estimate $4.26 Q1 '27 estimate $4.36 Q2 '27 estimate $4.19 Q3 '27 estimate $4.58
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold60 ratings
Bullish2541.7%
Neutral3253.3%
Bearish35.0%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$459.36Current
$175Low
$283.43Average
$475High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 27, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 12, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 28, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 28, 2026
Show 56 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $459.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerJames Fish$461$402.12 +0.4%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$397$407.96 -13.6%Jul 28, 2026
BOCOM International Holdings CompanyAnalyst unavailable$300$407.96 -34.7%Jul 28, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$450$396.19 -2.0%Jun 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$475$362.58 +3.4%May 18, 2026
See 38 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

F5, Inc. is a technology company specializing in comprehensive solutions designed to secure and optimize the delivery of applications across various cloud environments. Their core mission is to guarantee the security, peak performance, and constant availability of critical network applications, servers, and storage systems for their clients. Through their multi-cloud offerings, F5 empowers organizations to seamlessly develop, deploy, operate, secure, and govern their applications, whether these reside in traditional on-premises infrastructures or modern public cloud platforms. The company's extensive product portfolio includes a range of application security and delivery tools: Robust hardware like BIG-IP appliances and VIPRION chassis, complemented by their software modules and virtual editions. Software-defined solutions such as Local Traffic Manager and DNS Services for efficient traffic handling. Advanced network protection with Advanced Firewall Manager and Policy Enforcement Manager.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T22:03:14.666173+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-27T01:23:15.065758+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T22:10:41.018553+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T22:10:41.015869+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.