Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. · ARE · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

ARE leasing strengthened, but 2027 expirations remain a risk

Alexandria's Q3 showed stronger leasing and improved occupancy, supported by demand for Megacampus and advanced-technology space. The outlook remains balanced: capital-plan execution improved, but 2027 expirations, tenant wind-downs and development impairments could pressure occupancy and cash flow.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $7.12B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-3.74 Consensus $-0.03
EPS surprise -13401.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $671.2M Consensus $646.3M
Revenue surprise +3.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -5.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -6.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
ARESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Leasing reached 1.236 million square feet, including 451,000 square feet of previously vacant space, while occupancy rose to 87.1%. Management also highlighted a $475 million Campus Point joint venture and $1 billion of junior subordinated notes, alongside $638 million of development-project impairments.

Guidance delta

Maintained. Year-end occupancy and 5.6–6.2x leverage guidance were reaffirmed.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 leasing was strong, with a large contribution from previously vacant space.
  • Capital-plan execution advanced through the Campus Point joint venture and junior subordinated notes issuance.
  • The near-term setup is mixed because approximately 1.4 million square feet of 2027 expirations may create downtime and occupancy pressure.

Management priorities

  • Continue leasing Megacampus assets and expanding the advanced-technology tenant mix.
  • Advance the development pipeline while focusing spending on re-leasing vacant space and high-return operating assets.
  • Use joint ventures and capital-market transactions to support funding and balance-sheet objectives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ARE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.34 Q2 '24 actual $2.36, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.38 Q3 '24 actual $2.37, match Q2 '25 estimate $2.29 Q2 '25 actual $2.33, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.31 Q3 '25 actual $2.22, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.15 Q4 '25 actual $2.16, match Q1 '26 estimate $1.73 Q1 '26 actual $2.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.09 Q2 '26 actual $-0.43, miss Q3 '26 estimate $-0.03 Q3 '26 actual $-3.74, miss Q4 '26 estimate $-0.04 Q1 '27 estimate $0.01
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold25 ratings
Bullish936.0%
Neutral1352.0%
Bearish312.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$40.86Current
$41Low
$69.26Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeSep 24, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 24, 2026
Citizens Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 17, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 20 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $40.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$41$45.51 +0.3%Oct 12, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$41$45.51 +0.3%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$59$53.3 +44.4%Sep 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$52$53.49 +27.3%Aug 24, 2026
Evercore ISIJames Kammert$57$48.14 +39.5%Aug 17, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (NYSE:ARE), an S&P 500® real estate investment trust, stands as the pioneering and most seasoned entity in the specialized domain of urban office properties. Since its inception in 1994, Alexandria has uniquely focused on the ownership, operation, and development of integrated campuses tailored for the life science, technology, and agtech sectors, strategically positioned within premier innovation ecosystems. By December 31, 2020, the company commanded a market capitalization of $31.9 billion and managed an extensive North American asset portfolio totaling 49.7 million square feet. This substantial base encompasses 31.9 million RSF of operational properties, 3.3 million RSF of premium Class A spaces currently under construction, 7.1 million RSF designated for near-to-mid-term development and refurbishment, and an additional 7.4 million SF earmarked for future projects.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-28T04:05:30.915898+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-28T01:23:13.546025+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T05:30:43.402643+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T05:30:43.400007+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.