Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Synchrony highlights record volume and expanding partner finance

The call supports a constructive but qualified view of Synchrony's growth trajectory: record purchase volume, faster growth in dual and co-branded cards, Pay Later expansion, and new partnerships provide evidence of demand and platform expansion. That case is balanced by regulatory uncertainty, reserve sensitivity, payment-rate normalization, and macroeconomic risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.34B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.07 Consensus $2.05
EPS surprise +1.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.79B Consensus $3.84B
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -5.8% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.3% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management highlighted record purchase volume, 16% year-over-year growth in dual and co-branded-card volume, Pay Later reaching more than 6,200 merchants, and new partnership and acquisition activity including Bob's Discount Furniture and Versatile.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance, with the 2026 outlook calling for mid-single-digit loan growth, EPS of $9.10-$9.50, and continued net-interest-income expansion.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 net profit was $751 million and purchase volume reached a record $49 billion.
  • Dual and co-branded cards represented half of volume and grew 16% year over year.
  • Pay Later expanded to more than 6,200 merchants, while new partner and acquisition activity broadened the platform.

Management priorities

  • Roll out Walmart One Pay and the Lowe's commercial co-brand in 2026.
  • Expand Pay Later across additional merchants and integrate Versatile technology across channels.
  • Invest in digital wallet, AI, and health-and-wellness capabilities while renewing and adding partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $4B, miss Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4B Q3 '25 actual $5B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4B Q4 '25 actual $4B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $4B Q2 '26 actual $4B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B Q2 '27 estimate $4B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2561.0%
Neutral1536.6%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$71.72Current
$40Low
$72.72Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $71.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$90$80.02 +25.5%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$77.56 +21.3%Aug 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$104$71.88 +45.0%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$80$72.21 +11.5%Jul 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$90$72.21 +25.5%Jul 22, 2026
See 61 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T01:46:10.298910+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T01:46:10.296041+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.