Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Synchrony posts a strong Q3 as credit metrics improve

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient purchase volume, improving credit metrics, and expanding partnerships provide evidence of operating momentum, while the lowered high end of revenue guidance, selective spending, and execution around credit actions remain important offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.35B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.86 Consensus $2.26
EPS surprise +26.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.83B Consensus $3.80B
Revenue surprise +27.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.4% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Synchrony reported a stronger Q3 credit and earnings profile, with multi-year-low delinquency and charge-off rates, a broader partnership pipeline, and a $1 billion incremental buyback authorization. The strategic story also advanced through Versatile Credit and continued Walmart One Pay and Pay Later expansion.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2025 outlook, while the high end of the revenue guidance range was lowered.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 EPS was $2.86, above the $2.26 estimate, and purchase volume grew 2%.
  • Delinquency and charge-off rates reached multi-year lows, supporting the quarter's credit-quality narrative.
  • Walmart One Pay, Amazon Pay Later, Versatile Credit, and new co-branded programs form the main partnership and product pipeline.
  • Capital generation remains strong, with $971 million returned to shareholders and a $1 billion incremental buyback authorization.

Management priorities

  • Scale Walmart One Pay and pursue top-of-wallet adoption.
  • Expand Pay Later across additional merchant partners.
  • Use Versatile Credit to improve approvals and referral revenue.
  • Gradually unwind prior credit restrictions as macro conditions improve.
  • Pursue additional co-branded and de novo partnership opportunities.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.93 Q4 '23 actual $1.03, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.34 Q1 '24 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.35 Q2 '24 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.82 Q2 '25 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $2.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.40 Q4 '26 estimate $2.15 Q1 '27 estimate $2.56 Q2 '27 estimate $2.44

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2561.0%
Neutral1536.6%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$71.77Previous close
$40Low
$72.72Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $71.77. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$90$80.02 +25.4%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$77.56 +21.2%Aug 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$104$71.88 +44.9%Jul 22, 2026
RBC CapitalJon Arfstrom$80$72.21 +11.5%Jul 22, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$90$72.21 +25.4%Jul 22, 2026
See 61 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

All SYF earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T08:30:42.501449+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T08:30:42.498687+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.