Synchrony Financial · SYF · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Synchrony Maintains Guidance as Credit Metrics Improve

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view: improving credit performance and new partnerships strengthen the growth case, while flat loan receivables and purchase-volume pressure remain important offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $23.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.50 Consensus $1.82
EPS surprise +37.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.71B Consensus $3.71B
Revenue surprise +27.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.8% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.3% Up to 20 sessions
SYFSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management added detail on the Walmart OnePay launch, expanded Amazon Pay Later and PayPal offerings, and Synchrony GPT. Credit performance improved, but loan growth and purchase volume remained constrained; full-year guidance was maintained.

Guidance delta

Full-year guidance was maintained, including flat loan receivables, net revenue of $15–15.3 billion, and second-half NIM targeting 15.6%.

Key takeaways

  • Credit quality improved year over year, with delinquency and net charge-off rates better than expected.
  • Walmart OnePay, Amazon Pay Later, and a physical PayPal card are the main cited growth initiatives.
  • Capital remained strong, with a 13.6% CET1 ratio and $614 million returned to shareholders.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale Walmart OnePay in the second half of 2025.
  • Expand Amazon Pay Later and the physical PayPal credit card.
  • Invest in Synchrony GPT and other GenAI tools while maintaining disciplined capital return.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SYF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.93 Q4 '23 actual $1.03, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.34 Q1 '24 actual $1.18, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.35 Q2 '24 actual $1.55, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.82 Q2 '25 actual $2.50, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.26 Q3 '25 actual $2.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.05 Q4 '25 actual $2.07, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.20 Q1 '26 actual $2.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.14 Q2 '26 actual $2.59, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.42 Q4 '26 estimate $2.14 Q1 '27 estimate $2.56 Q2 '27 estimate $2.42

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish2561.0%
Neutral1536.6%
Bearish12.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.72Previous close
$40Low
$73.2Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $73.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAndrew Bauch$81$73.72 +9.9%Oct 8, 2026
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$93$71.41 +26.2%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$81$71.77 +9.9%Oct 5, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$90$80.02 +22.1%Aug 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$77.56 +18.0%Aug 3, 2026
See 64 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Synchrony Financial, along with its various subsidiaries, functions as a leading provider of consumer financial services across the United States. The company offers a comprehensive range of credit products, encompassing diverse credit card options such as private label, co-branded, and general-purpose cards, alongside commercial credit solutions and consumer installment loans for both short and long durations. Additionally, Synchrony provides consumer banking services, including a variety of deposit products like certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts. These are made available to both individual consumers and commercial entities, with deposits also accepted via external securities brokerage firms. Beyond core credit and banking, Synchrony extends debt cancellation programs to its credit card clientele through online, mobile, and direct mail channels.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T11:40:41.594340+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T11:40:41.591647+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.