SW
FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
Smurfit Westrock plc
Smurfit Westrock's first-quarter results reveal a company executing through short-term headwinds while staying on its medium-term trajectory. Adjusted EBITDA of $1.076B at a 14% margin absorbed a $65M weather-related hit, and management reaffirmed its plan targeting $7B EBITDA by 2030 with a 7% CAGR and over 300bps of margin expansion. Revenue topped consensus by roughly 2%, but a 16% EPS miss drove a 4.2% abnormal decline on the report day. The stock subsequently recovered, drifting 7.2% higher on 2.7x baseline volume, suggesting the market looked past the EPS shortfall toward pricing momentum, new customer wins, and cost discipline. The bullish score declined from 85 to 72, reflecting analyst caution around downtime, price pass-through timing, and UK mill closures.
EPS surprise-16.0%
Market move-3.3%