Strategy Inc · STRC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Strategy’s digital-credit expansion meets Bitcoin mark-to-market risk

The supplied analysis describes a business increasingly combining Bitcoin accumulation with preferred and digital-credit financing. Its cash reserve and capital access support the stated plan, while results and balance-sheet measures remain exposed to Bitcoin price changes and funding conditions.

Reported Session unavailableNASDAQTechnology $32.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-42.93 Consensus $-0.08
EPS surprise -53562.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $123.0M Consensus $119.1M
Revenue surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move -0.0% Event window
SPY move -0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.0% Up to 20 sessions
STRCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the FY2025 Q4 account emphasizes a larger Bitcoin position of 713,502 BTC, more than $25 billion raised in 2025, a $2.25 billion cash reserve, and Stretch as a core digital-credit product. The quarter's operating loss was attributed in the supplied analysis to Bitcoin fair-value declines.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment is characterized as maintained. The supplied analysis describes continued Bitcoin accumulation and expansion of digital credit, but does not provide a new or revised numerical outlook.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis reports 713,502 BTC held at year-end and more than $25 billion raised in 2025.
  • A $2.25 billion cash reserve was described as covering more than 2.5 years of dividends.
  • Management characterized Stretch, with an 11.25% dividend, as a core growth engine; the analysis notes strong liquidity.
  • The reported Q4 operating loss reflected Bitcoin fair-value declines, underscoring the effect of mark-to-market valuation on results.

Management priorities

  • Continue Bitcoin accumulation and seek to increase Bitcoin per share through capital raising.
  • Expand digital-credit issuance, including Euro-denominated Stream.
  • Maintain the USD cash reserve and address Bitcoin security risks, including potential quantum threats.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
STRC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $-0.44 Q4 '23 actual $0.06, beat Q1 '24 estimate $-0.44 Q1 '24 actual $-0.84, miss Q2 '25 estimate $-0.10 Q2 '25 actual $32.60, beat Q3 '25 estimate $-0.10 Q3 '25 actual $8.42, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.08 Q4 '25 actual $-42.93, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.86 Q1 '26 actual $-38.25, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.79 Q2 '26 actual $-24.45, miss Q3 '26 estimate $20.19 Q3 '26 actual $44.75, beat Q4 '26 estimate $8.75 Q1 '27 estimate $3.76 Q2 '27 estimate $6.21 Q3 '27 estimate $4.74
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold1 ratings
Bullish00.0%
Neutral1100.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$99.86Current
$252Low
$252Average
$252High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeAug 21, 2023

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $99.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$252$111.42 +152.4%May 12, 2022

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. The company also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making. In addition, the company provides Strategy Mosaic, a universal intelligence layer that offers enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The company was formerly known as MicroStrategy Incorporated and changed its name to Strategy Inc in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.

Historical context

All STRC earnings

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T14:30:46.752801+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T14:30:46.750075+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.