Simon Property Group, Inc. · SPG · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Simon Property Group: Revenue Beat, EPS Miss; Current Read Is Incomplete

The supplied evidence supports a mixed near-term read: revenue exceeded the estimate, while EPS fell short. Prior-quarter operating commentary was constructive, but the missing current-quarter transcript analysis prevents a confident conclusion about whether demand and earnings momentum remain durable.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $66.58B market cap
75quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.49 Consensus $1.64
EPS surprise -9.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.66B Consensus $1.61B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.8% Up to 20 sessions
SPGSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied Q2 scorecard indicates a revenue beat alongside an EPS miss. No current-quarter transcript analysis was supplied, so changes in management commentary, priorities, and outlook cannot be established.

Guidance delta

Current-quarter guidance change is not available in the supplied analysis; the prior quarter’s guidance sentiment was raised.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied Q2 scorecard shows EPS of $1.49 versus a $1.64 estimate and revenue of $1.660 billion versus a $1.612 billion estimate.
  • The supplied market-reaction data shows a 0.46% market move over the event window and subsequent drift of -6.83%; the reaction window is event-close to next-session close.
  • Prior-quarter analysis described occupancy, leasing activity, development, and retailer demand as key operating supports.
  • A complete assessment of the current quarter is limited because current-quarter transcript analysis was not supplied.

Management priorities

  • Advance the development pipeline, including projects under construction and projects planned to start
  • Invest in selected property renovations and mixed-use residential and hotel additions
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation through share repurchases and dividend growth
  • Evaluate opportunistic acquisitions against brand-accretive, value-add, and price criteria

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SPG EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.80 Q1 '24 actual $3.56, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.93 Q2 '24 actual $2.90, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1.57 Q3 '24 actual $2.84, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.04 Q2 '25 actual $3.05, match Q3 '25 estimate $3.09 Q3 '25 actual $3.22, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.90 Q4 '25 actual $9.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.46 Q1 '26 actual $1.48, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.64 Q2 '26 actual $1.49, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.68 Q4 '26 estimate $1.90 Q1 '27 estimate $1.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1642.1%
Neutral2052.6%
Bearish25.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$204.98Current
$115Low
$195.87Average
$285High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 14, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 17, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainAug 11, 2026
Ladenburg Thalmann Buy BuyMaintainAug 11, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 21, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 9, 2026
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeJul 1, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 29, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJun 23, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 10, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 1, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 5, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainDec 21, 2023
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainOct 4, 2022
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeJun 30, 2022
Compass Point Buy BuyMaintainJun 22, 2022
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainApr 7, 2022
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainAug 27, 2021
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 15, 2021
Edward Jones Sell HoldDowngradeDec 16, 2020
Raymond James Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJun 11, 2020
CFRA Sell SellMaintainMay 12, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainApr 24, 2020
Citi Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 23, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2018
Argus Buy BuyMaintainMay 5, 2018
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainMar 31, 2017
BTIG Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2016
RBC Capital Sector Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 2, 2016
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainAug 1, 2016
Boenning & Scattergood Outperform OutperformMaintainDec 4, 2015
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 1, 2015
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Hold HoldMaintainMay 5, 2014
Imperial Capital In Line In LineMaintainApr 23, 2014
Janney Capital Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $204.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$221$205.42 +7.8%Sep 17, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$219$204.83 +6.8%Sep 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$226$217.11 +10.3%Aug 27, 2026
ScotiabankGreg McGinniss$222$221.66 +8.3%Aug 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$215$219.58 +4.9%Aug 17, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$209$220.55 +2.0%Aug 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$285$228.19 +39.0%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$220$220.26 +7.3%Jul 9, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$222$219.09 +8.3%Jul 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$215$227.81 +4.9%Jul 7, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$213$222.15 +3.9%Jun 25, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$215$216.62 +4.9%Jun 23, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$220$213.62 +7.3%Jun 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$207$211.56 +1.0%Jun 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$208$209.58 +1.5%Jun 8, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$206$200.84 +0.5%May 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$212$200.42 +3.4%May 19, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$199$200.93 -2.9%May 18, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$207$204.82 +1.0%May 12, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$194$201 -5.4%May 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$198$187.41 -3.4%Feb 3, 2026
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$230$191.22 +12.2%Feb 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$185$191.22 -9.7%Feb 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$205$184.92 +0.0%Jan 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$205$184.93 +0.0%Jan 16, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$188$184.36 -8.3%Jan 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$192$184.98 -6.3%Jan 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$189$183.95 -7.8%Jan 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$181$182.53 -11.7%Dec 17, 2025
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$184$176.67 -10.2%Nov 4, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$188$176.74 -8.3%Oct 17, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$180$185.23 -12.2%Oct 6, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$210$182.02 +2.4%Sep 18, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$173$179.36 -15.6%Aug 28, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$169$176.56 -17.6%Aug 22, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$179$169.31 -12.7%Aug 5, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$186$186.09 -9.3%Feb 28, 2025
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$172$164.02 -16.1%Sep 16, 2024
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$179$163.74 -12.7%Sep 13, 2024
CitigroupKaty McConnell$165$165.08 -19.5%Sep 4, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$175$167.35 -14.6%Sep 2, 2024
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$158$166.53 -22.9%Aug 28, 2024
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$160$168.05 -21.9%Aug 28, 2024
ScotiabankGreg McGinnis$169$166.78 -17.6%Aug 26, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$157.5$154.25 -23.2%Aug 6, 2024
Argus ResearchJacob Kilstein$168$150.96 -18.0%Jun 11, 2024
ScotiabankGreg McGinnis$152$150.21 -25.8%May 16, 2024
BMO CapitalAlexander Goldfarb$190$151.04 -7.3%May 15, 2024
Deutsche BankDerek Johnston$115$120.24 -43.9%Dec 14, 2022
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$125$113.25 -39.0%Aug 15, 2022
Truist FinancialKi Bin Kim$130$95.69 -36.6%Jun 20, 2022
Goldman SachsCaitlin Burrows$166$110.04 -19.0%May 19, 2022
Morgan StanleyRichard Hill$160$128.27 -21.9%Mar 7, 2022
BTIGJames Sullivan$177$144.26 -13.7%Jan 24, 2022
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$180$159.9 -12.2%Jan 12, 2022
Argus ResearchAngus Kelleher-Ferguson$180$156.8 -12.2%Nov 26, 2021
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$200$165.16 -2.4%Nov 24, 2021
Compass PointFloris van Dijkum$200$155.35 -2.4%Nov 2, 2021
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$140$127.64 -31.7%Aug 10, 2021
JefferiesJonathan Petersen$144$122.26 -29.7%Jul 15, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG) is a prominent S&P 100 real estate investment trust that specializes in owning and developing a portfolio of world-class shopping, dining, entertainment, and mixed-use destinations. These significant properties, strategically located across North America, Europe, and Asia, serve as vital community hubs, attracting millions of visitors daily and contributing billions in annual revenue.

Historical context

All SPG earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-11T14:15:27.751821+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-15T01:23:15.305287+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T20:30:49.625445+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T20:30:49.623178+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.