Sandisk Corporation · SNDK · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026

SanDisk posts record Q4 as data-center demand and NBMs scale

SanDisk's record Q4 and expanding NBM coverage support the case for durable growth from AI inference and data-center demand. The countercase is that the outlook remains sensitive to pricing, margins, supply execution, and the sustainability of AI-led demand.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $261.62B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $39.25 Consensus $34.96
EPS surprise +12.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $8.96B Consensus $8.48B
Revenue surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.8% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -6.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +23.6% Up to 20 sessions
SNDKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management described a larger data-center mix, broader NBM coverage, continued product expansion through BiCS 10 and high-bandwidth flash, and additional buyback capacity. The central demand narrative remained AI and data-center growth, while the key concerns shifted toward Q1 margins, pricing contribution, and commercialization timing.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management outlined continued growth from data-center demand, NBMs, BiCS 10, QLC Stargate, and high-bandwidth flash while noting margin and pricing questions for the next quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q4 performance, with data-center demand and AI inference as major drivers.
  • Data-center bits rose to 38% of the portfolio, while NBMs are projected to cover more than half of FY2027 bits.
  • Management highlighted BiCS 8, BiCS 10, QLC Stargate, and high-bandwidth flash as product and technology priorities.
  • Strong cash generation supports continued buybacks and reinvestment, but pricing, margins, and demand durability remain important watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Ramp production of BiCS 8 and launch BiCS 10 nodes.
  • Scale the QLC Stargate platform.
  • Expand NBMs with additional hyperscalers and edge customers.
  • Invest in R&D for high-bandwidth flash and AI-focused memory architectures.
  • Increase inventory levels to support committed NBMs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNDK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q3 '26 actual $6B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $8B Q4 '26 actual $9B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $11B Q2 '27 estimate $12B Q3 '27 estimate $12B Q4 '27 estimate $13B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,766.64Previous close
$63Low
$1,560.64Average
$3,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $1,766.64. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,875$1,493.12 +6.1%Aug 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,600$1,656.09 -9.4%Aug 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,528.11 -0.9%Aug 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,900$1,528.11 +7.5%Aug 14, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$2,200$1,528.11 +24.5%Aug 13, 2026
See 68 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SanDisk Corporation specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying storage solutions and devices leveraging advanced NAND flash technology. Its diverse product line features solid-state drives (SSDs), embedded memory solutions, removable memory cards, universal serial bus (USB) devices, and underlying wafers and components. Founded on June 1, 1988, the company maintains its principal executive offices in Milpitas, California.

Historical context

All SNDK earnings

Technology peers this season

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ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T20:16:16.327108+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T08:20:52.686997+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T08:20:52.683821+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.