Sandisk Corporation · SNDK · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

SanDisk: AI demand drives a stronger outlook, with execution risks

The current analysis supports a constructive growth thesis for SanDisk: resilient AI-related data-center demand, product mix, and the NAND transition strengthen the outlook, but supply, pricing, and capex execution remain important tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $257.66B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.20 Consensus $3.62
EPS surprise +71.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.02B Consensus $2.69B
Revenue surprise +12.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.9% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +7.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.4% Up to 20 sessions
SNDKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the outlook strengthened: guidance was raised, data-center demand accelerated, and management emphasized more aggressive capex, multiyear supply agreements, and the higher-density NAND transition.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance, reinforcing the stronger near-term outlook described in the current analysis.

Key takeaways

  • AI-driven data-center demand is the central growth driver in the current analysis.
  • Supply remains below demand, making allocation and multiyear agreements strategic priorities.
  • The higher-density NAND transition and premium consumer products support the growth case, while capex rises.

Management priorities

  • Ramp higher-density NAND production and advance the Stargate storage product.
  • Pursue multiyear supply agreements with prepayment components.
  • Maintain aggressive capex to support targeted bit growth.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SNDK EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '25 estimate $0.05 Q4 '25 actual $0.29, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $1.22, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.62 Q2 '26 actual $6.20, beat Q3 '26 estimate $14.62 Q3 '26 actual $23.41, beat Q4 '26 estimate $34.96 Q4 '26 actual $39.25, beat Q1 '27 estimate $46.11 Q2 '27 estimate $52.43 Q3 '27 estimate $53.97 Q4 '27 estimate $58.51

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,787.69Current
$63Low
$1,560.64Average
$3,050High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 14, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 23, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 1, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 3, 2026
Barclays Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeMay 27, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJan 30, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainJan 30, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJan 15, 2026
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,787.69. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,875$1,493.12 +4.9%Aug 25, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$1,600$1,656.09 -10.5%Aug 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,528.11 -2.1%Aug 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,900$1,528.11 +6.3%Aug 14, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$2,200$1,528.11 +23.1%Aug 13, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,550$1,528.11 -13.3%Aug 13, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$2,900$1,254.98 +62.2%Aug 10, 2026
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$3,000$1,283.61 +67.8%Aug 6, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,350.5 -2.1%Aug 6, 2026
RBC CapitalSrini Pajjuri$1,300$1,350.5 -27.3%Aug 6, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,400$1,350.5 -21.7%Aug 6, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$2,800$1,350.5 +56.6%Aug 6, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$3,050$1,622.81 +70.6%Jul 23, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$3,250$1,599.27 +81.8%Jul 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,620$1,589.4 -9.4%Jul 22, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$3,100$1,915.92 +73.4%Jul 13, 2026
BernsteinMark Newman$3,000$2,050.39 +67.8%Jun 29, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$2,900$1,611.3 +62.2%Jun 8, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$2,200$1,559.32 +23.1%Jun 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,750$1,737 -2.1%Jun 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,825$1,589.94 +2.1%May 28, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$2,300$1,589.55 +28.7%May 26, 2026
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,350$1,307.4 +31.5%May 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$1,625$1,406.32 -9.1%May 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,187 -4.9%May 4, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$1,200$1,081.43 -32.9%May 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$1,220$1,148.24 -31.8%May 1, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$1,400$1,141 -21.7%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$1,470$1,142.51 -17.8%May 1, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$2,000$1,096.51 +11.9%May 1, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$1,200$1,096.51 -32.9%May 1, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$1,400$1,096.51 -21.7%May 1, 2026
WedbushMatt Bryson$1,200$1,002.35 -32.9%Apr 29, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$1,400$989.9 -21.7%Apr 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$1,100$989.9 -38.5%Apr 27, 2026
Wells FargoAaron Rakers$975$920.99 -45.5%Apr 20, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$1,200$952.5 -32.9%Apr 13, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$1,000$851.57 -44.1%Apr 9, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$1,250$851.57 -30.1%Apr 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$1,000$652.79 -44.1%Feb 2, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$750$576.25 -58.0%Feb 2, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$1,000$539.3 -44.1%Jan 30, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$800$539.3 -55.2%Jan 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$690$539.3 -61.4%Jan 30, 2026
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$700$539.3 -60.8%Jan 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$710$539.3 -60.3%Jan 30, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$700$539.3 -60.8%Jan 30, 2026
RBC CapitalSrini Pajjuri$650$539.3 -63.6%Jan 30, 2026
Raymond JamesMelissa Fairbanks$725$539.3 -59.4%Jan 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$600$470.8 -66.4%Jan 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$483$473.83 -73.0%Jan 26, 2026
Benchmark Co.Analyst unavailable$450$414.5 -74.8%Jan 15, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$385$387.81 -78.5%Jan 15, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$380$387.81 -78.7%Jan 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$400$387.81 -77.6%Jan 14, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$580$387.58 -67.6%Jan 14, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$580$389.81 -67.6%Jan 14, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$320$352.75 -82.1%Jan 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$410$334.54 -77.1%Jan 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$273$200.27 -84.7%Nov 24, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$300$225 -83.2%Nov 7, 2025
UBSJoseph Moore$230$199.33 -87.1%Nov 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyJoseph Moore$230$199.33 -87.1%Nov 3, 2025
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$220$204.36 -87.7%Oct 29, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$215$169.17 -88.0%Oct 28, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$180$144.27 -89.9%Oct 17, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$115$116.91 -93.6%Oct 13, 2025
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$55$46.95 -96.9%Jul 10, 2025
Arete ResearchNam Hyung Kim$63$41.82 -96.5%Jun 9, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$70$47.67 -96.1%Apr 2, 2025
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$80$52.99 -95.5%Mar 24, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$60$51 -96.6%Mar 10, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$60$51 -96.6%Mar 7, 2025
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SanDisk Corporation specializes in designing, manufacturing, and supplying storage solutions and devices leveraging advanced NAND flash technology. Its diverse product line features solid-state drives (SSDs), embedded memory solutions, removable memory cards, universal serial bus (USB) devices, and underlying wafers and components. Founded on June 1, 1988, the company maintains its principal executive offices in Milpitas, California.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T23:36:04.436633+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T23:36:04.432349+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.