SK hynix Inc. · SKHY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

SK hynix leans into AI memory demand and 2027 capacity

The supplied transcript analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong AI infrastructure demand, higher-value memory products and customer agreements support near-term growth visibility, while rising capacity investment and the possibility of slower AI demand create execution and supply-demand risks.

Reported Before market openNASDAQTechnology $1031.85B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $6.13
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $70.57B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
SKHYSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The analysis highlights the start of HBM4 mass production, long-term agreements covering more than half of projected 2027–28 capacity, a planned increase in 2027 capex, and the cancellation of the Solidigm IPO amid market volatility.

Guidance delta

Management sentiment was maintained. The supplied analysis points to increased 2027 capex, additional capacity, and continued development of HBM4E, custom HBM and tiered memory solutions.

Key takeaways

  • The transcript analysis describes record Q3 results driven by AI memory demand, including HBM4, DDR5 server DRAM and enterprise SSDs.
  • HBM4 mass production has started, with the analysis expecting it to overtake HBM3E in Q4.
  • Long-term agreements with 14 key customers cover more than half of projected 2027–28 capacity, improving visibility while increasing commitment to planned output.
  • The company outlined a shareholder-return plan of about KRW 100 trillion, including a special dividend tied to gains from its Kioxia investment.
  • The analysis identifies a cancelled Solidigm IPO, attributed to market volatility, as a notable change.

Management priorities

  • Expand DRAM capacity through the 1c-nm process and the M15X HBM4 ramp-up.
  • Increase 321-layer SSD production to more than half of domestic capacity.
  • Develop HBM4E, custom HBM, HBF and tiered memory solutions for AI workloads.
  • Secure and extend long-term agreements with major cloud-service-provider customers.
  • Invest in new fab infrastructure in Yongin and increase 2027 capex.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SKHY EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 2 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '26 estimate $2.55 Q1 '26 actual $3.83, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.12 Q2 '26 actual $8.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6.20 Q4 '26 estimate $9,700.85 Q1 '27 estimate $10,275.62 Q2 '27 estimate $11,163.41

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy3 ratings
Bullish3100.0%
Neutral00.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$162.6Current
$200Low
$247.11Average
$330High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 26, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $162.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wolfe ResearchChris Caso$250$190.22 +53.7%Sep 23, 2026
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$200$142.72 +23.0%Aug 4, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$200$142.72 +23.0%Aug 4, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$300$142.72 +84.5%Aug 4, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$240$142.72 +47.6%Aug 4, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

SK hynix is one of the world's largest memory semiconductor companies and engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of advanced memory semiconductors. The company sells a wide variety of DRAM and NAND flash memory products with various configurations and performance characteristics tailored to meet application- and customer-specific needs.

Technology peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-28T14:07:01.984452+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-15T01:23:12.167262+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T14:50:43.307543+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T14:50:43.304893+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.