SK hynix Inc. · SKHY · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
SK hynix leans into AI memory demand and 2027 capacity
The supplied transcript analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong AI infrastructure demand, higher-value memory products and customer agreements support near-term growth visibility, while rising capacity investment and the possibility of slower AI demand create execution and supply-demand risks.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The analysis highlights the start of HBM4 mass production, long-term agreements covering more than half of projected 2027–28 capacity, a planned increase in 2027 capex, and the cancellation of the Solidigm IPO amid market volatility.
Guidance delta
Management sentiment was maintained. The supplied analysis points to increased 2027 capex, additional capacity, and continued development of HBM4E, custom HBM and tiered memory solutions.
Key takeaways
- The transcript analysis describes record Q3 results driven by AI memory demand, including HBM4, DDR5 server DRAM and enterprise SSDs.
- HBM4 mass production has started, with the analysis expecting it to overtake HBM3E in Q4.
- Long-term agreements with 14 key customers cover more than half of projected 2027–28 capacity, improving visibility while increasing commitment to planned output.
- The company outlined a shareholder-return plan of about KRW 100 trillion, including a special dividend tied to gains from its Kioxia investment.
- The analysis identifies a cancelled Solidigm IPO, attributed to market volatility, as a notable change.
Management priorities
- Expand DRAM capacity through the 1c-nm process and the M15X HBM4 ramp-up.
- Increase 321-layer SSD production to more than half of domestic capacity.
- Develop HBM4E, custom HBM, HBF and tiered memory solutions for AI workloads.
- Secure and extend long-term agreements with major cloud-service-provider customers.
- Invest in new fab infrastructure in Yongin and increase 2027 capex.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 26, 2026 |
| Needham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $162.6. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfe Research | Chris Caso | $250 | $190.22 | +53.7% | Sep 23, 2026 |
| Needham | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $142.72 | +23.0% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $142.72 | +23.0% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Analyst unavailable | $300 | $142.72 | +84.5% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $240 | $142.72 | +47.6% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Srini Pajjuri | $200 | $142.72 | +23.0% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Simon Coles | $300 | $126.79 | +84.5% | Jul 30, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $204 | $126.79 | +25.5% | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $330 | $152.35 | +102.9% | Jul 14, 2026 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationSK hynix is one of the world's largest memory semiconductor companies and engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of advanced memory semiconductors. The company sells a wide variety of DRAM and NAND flash memory products with various configurations and performance characteristics tailored to meet application- and customer-specific needs.
Technology peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -2.5% | ADP raises outlook as AI rollout and bookings support FY27 growth |
| UMC United Microelectronics Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -4.0% | UMC Q3 2026: record shipments, 34% gross margin, $3.2B capex added for AI packaging |
| NXPI NXP Semiconductors N.V. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.9% | +3.1% | NXP posts strong Q3 as SDV, industrial AI and data center gains build |
| MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.2% | -1.0% | Manhattan Associates Q3: Cloud Growth and RPO Lift Outlook |
| FFIV F5, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +3.8% | -0.5% | F5: AI security momentum supports FY27 growth plan, with spending rising |
| LOGI Logitech International S.A. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.7% | +1.8% | Logitech sustains growth, but supply constraints lower near-term outlook |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- HLTFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+3.4% EPS-2.1% move
- SPGIFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+3.4% EPS-0.4% move
- PYPLFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+10.7% EPS+2.0% move
- CMSAFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+6.7% EPS0.0% move
- ITWFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+2.4% EPS-0.1% move
- IQVFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026+2.5% EPS-0.7% move
Missed on EPS
- ARCCFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026-3.4% EPS-0.5% move
- WSOFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026-8.0% EPS-1.4% move
- IVZFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026-2.7% EPS-0.4% move
- SHWFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026-1.6% EPS-2.7% move
- BAFY2026 Q3 · October 27, 2026-33.4% EPS-10.7% move
- AREFY2026 Q3 · October 26, 2026-13401.8% EPS-5.9% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-28T14:07:01.984452+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-15T01:23:12.167262+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-28T14:50:43.307543+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-28T14:50:43.304893+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-28. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.