The Sherwin-Williams Company · SHW · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Sherwin-Williams Maintains Guidance Amid Cost and Demand Risks

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of the operating trajectory: pricing, share gains, and efficiency initiatives are helping offset uneven demand and cost pressure. The evidence is not sufficient to establish a broader earnings-growth conclusion because the reported-versus-consensus checks are incomplete.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $77.53B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.23
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.41B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +4.8% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +4.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.9% Up to 20 sessions
SHWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management continued to emphasize pricing and share gains but added the announced Suvinil acquisition, ongoing digitization-led cost control, and tariff-related raw-material pressure as key considerations.

Guidance delta

Management maintained full-year guidance; the supplied analysis does not indicate a change from the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Management described sales as within guidance, with modest Paint Stores growth and high-single-digit Protective & Marine growth.
  • The supplied analysis points to margin expansion from price mix and supply-chain efficiencies, alongside lower SG&A from digitization.
  • The central tension is cost discipline and pricing offsetting tariff and raw-material pressure while demand remains uneven.

Management priorities

  • Execute pricing and price-mix initiatives.
  • Open 80–100 new Paint Stores during FY2025.
  • Continue digitization and SG&A efficiency efforts, with attention to store expansion, capacity investments, and the Suvinil acquisition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SHW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.21 Q1 '24 actual $2.17, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3.48 Q2 '24 actual $3.70, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.54 Q3 '24 actual $3.37, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3.76 Q2 '25 actual $3.38, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3.45 Q3 '25 actual $3.59, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.16 Q4 '25 actual $2.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.52 Q2 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.69 Q4 '26 estimate $2.30 Q1 '27 estimate $2.50
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2158.3%
Neutral1438.9%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$319.36Current
$260Low
$367.83Average
$420High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 9, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 5, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $319.36. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalArun Viswanathan$392$318.54 +22.7%Oct 9, 2026
Melius ResearchMichael Rehaut$367$318.46 +14.9%Oct 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$363$319.51 +13.7%Oct 5, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$340$320.4 +6.5%Sep 25, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesJohn Roberts$396$326.46 +24.0%Sep 24, 2026
See 76 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand.…

Historical context

All SHW earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T01:00:42.700015+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T01:00:42.697130+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.