The Sherwin-Williams Company · SHW · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Sherwin-Williams raises guidance as pricing and coatings demand support Q2

The Q2 update strengthens the case that resilient coatings demand, share gains, and pricing can support earnings growth, but the thesis still depends on executing price increases while managing inflation and softer consumer-linked demand.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $79.71B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.70 Consensus $3.52
EPS surprise +5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.79B Consensus $6.60B
Revenue surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.3% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +8.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.1% Up to 20 sessions
SHWSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management moved from maintained to raised guidance. The update added an 8% September price increase, highlighted continued Protective & Marine strength, and emphasized store optimization and digital transformation while maintaining a focus on organic growth.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year sales and EPS guidance after the Q2 beat.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 sales and EPS beat expectations, and full-year guidance was raised.
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 10.5%, with free-cash-flow conversion of 86%.
  • Protective & Marine posted its eighth consecutive quarter of high-single-digit growth, supported by data-center and semiconductor infrastructure demand.
  • An 8% price increase took effect September 1 as management works to offset inflation.
  • Store optimization and disciplined capital allocation remain central to the plan.

Management priorities

  • Execute the September 1 price increase and manage raw-material inflation.
  • Expand share through new accounts, products, and digital tools.
  • Continue store-portfolio optimization and organic growth.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation and selective M&A.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SHW EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.21 Q1 '24 actual $2.17, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3.48 Q2 '24 actual $3.70, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.54 Q3 '24 actual $3.37, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3.76 Q2 '25 actual $3.38, miss Q3 '25 estimate $3.45 Q3 '25 actual $3.59, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.16 Q4 '25 actual $2.23, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.27 Q1 '26 actual $2.35, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.52 Q2 '26 actual $3.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.69 Q4 '26 estimate $2.30 Q1 '27 estimate $2.57
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2158.3%
Neutral1438.9%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$326.46Current
$260Low
$368.77Average
$438High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 22, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 32 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $326.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$400$346.73 +22.5%Aug 24, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$400$340.85 +22.5%Aug 3, 2026
Goldman SachsDuffy Fischer$420$343.88 +28.7%Jul 29, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$405$341.42 +24.1%Jul 29, 2026
UBSJoshua Spector$390$341.57 +19.5%Jul 29, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and related products for architectural and industrial paint contractors, and do-it-yourself homeowners under the Sherwin-Williams brand.…

Historical context

All SHW earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T17:04:20.262959+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T00:26:18.309748+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T00:26:18.306752+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.