Raymond James Financial, Inc. · RJF · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025
Raymond James pairs record Q1 with recruiting and capital discipline
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: Raymond James showed resilient demand through record Private Client Group assets, fee-based growth, recruiting and strong M&A activity. The case depends on converting those drivers while managing leverage, expenses, loan sensitivity and acquisition execution.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis adds record first-quarter results, stronger M&A activity, a dedicated AI initiative and a stated path to reduce Tier 1 leverage. It also shows that a roughly $5 billion branch departure affected assets under administration, while domestic net new assets continued to grow.
Guidance delta
Management's guidance sentiment was maintained; no directional change was identified in the supplied analysis.
Key takeaways
- Management described record first-quarter revenue and earnings, led by Private Client Group assets and fee-based growth.
- Capital Markets M&A revenue was described as nearly doubling year over year, with the second-best M&A quarter in company history.
- A branch departure reduced assets under administration by about $5 billion, while domestic net new assets still grew 4% year over year.
- Management highlighted technology, automation and AI investment alongside a plan to reduce Tier 1 leverage toward 10%.
Management priorities
- Accelerate advisor recruiting across affiliation options.
- Invest in technology, automation and AI.
- Pursue selective acquisitions that fit strategic and cultural criteria.
- Expand in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom.
- Balance dividends and repurchases with acquisition opportunities.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Citizens | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Oct 23, 2025 |
| JMP Securities | Market Outperform | Market Outperform | Maintain | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 27, 2023 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 28, 2022 |
| Compass Point | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | May 1, 2020 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 26, 2018 |
| Buckingham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 26, 2018 |
| Keefe Bruyette & Woods | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Feb 27, 2018 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2017 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 22, 2016 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 15, 2015 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Strong Buy | Buy | Upgrade | Jul 9, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $158.82. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $197 | $159.53 | +24.0% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $179 | $159.53 | +12.7% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Daniel Welden | $172 | $159.76 | +8.3% | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $160 | $178.17 | +0.7% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | David Smith | $188 | $178.17 | +18.4% | Sep 1, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $184 | $172.75 | +15.9% | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Michael Cho | $179 | $164.91 | +12.7% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Brennan Hawken | $175 | $165.16 | +10.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Devin Ryan | $205 | $168.01 | +29.1% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $174 | $169.45 | +9.6% | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $192 | $169.9 | +20.9% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $200 | $165.35 | +25.9% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Brown | $175 | $166.58 | +10.2% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $155 | $143.22 | -2.4% | May 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $166 | $156.16 | +4.5% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $172 | $155.91 | +8.3% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Michael Cyprys | $171 | $145.35 | +7.7% | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $156 | $148.14 | -1.8% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $165 | $147.82 | +3.9% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $158 | $147.82 | -0.5% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $198 | $165.86 | +24.7% | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $191 | $169.02 | +20.3% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Michael Cyprys | $187 | $163.01 | +17.7% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| UBS | Michael Brown | $176 | $166.94 | +10.8% | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $196 | $165.79 | +23.4% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $194 | $164.98 | +22.2% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Brennan Hawken | $182 | $166.04 | +14.6% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $181 | $166.04 | +14.0% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Devin Ryan | $190 | $162.06 | +19.6% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Devin Ryan | $185 | $165.15 | +16.5% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $178 | $167.64 | +12.1% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $173 | $165.9 | +8.9% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $184 | $168.6 | +15.9% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Devin Ryan | $180 | $159.31 | +13.3% | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Craig Siegenthaler | $159 | $137.26 | +0.1% | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $161 | $144.19 | +1.4% | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Christopher Allen | $170 | $154.21 | +7.0% | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Raymond James | William Kirk | $150 | $149.05 | -5.6% | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Michael Cyprys | $132 | $136.51 | -16.9% | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Devin Ryan | $146 | $124.9 | -8.1% | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Christopher Harris | $138 | $115.95 | -13.1% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Daniel Fannon | $123 | $119.51 | -22.6% | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Raymond James | William Kirk | $130 | $125.36 | -18.1% | May 24, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Bill Katz | $126 | $123.39 | -20.7% | May 24, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Jim Mitchell | $139 | $129.61 | -12.5% | Apr 4, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Mark McLaughlin | $145 | $128.43 | -8.7% | Apr 2, 2024 |
| Raymond James | Mark McLaughlin | $122 | $106.83 | -23.2% | Sep 11, 2023 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $125 | $110.71 | -21.3% | Jan 9, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $130.07 | $67.71 | -18.1% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Manan Gosalia | $128 | $98.45 | -19.4% | Mar 14, 2022 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationRaymond James Financial, Inc. operates as a comprehensive financial services firm, extending a wide array of services to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities throughout the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its diverse operations are categorized into several key segments: Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Banking, and an "Other" category. The Private Client Group division equips clients with various investment solutions, personalized portfolio management, a selection of insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds. This segment also provides essential backing to third-party product partners, covering aspects like sales and marketing support, distribution, accounting, and general administrative assistance. Additionally, it facilitates margin loans and offers securities borrowing and lending services.…
Historical context
All RJF earningsFinancial Services peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDS FactSet Research Systems Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.9% | +3.8% | FactSet reports record FY26 results as AI and MCP adoption accelerate |
| PUK Prudential plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -40.9% | -0.5% | Prudential sustains growth and capital returns focus in H1 2026 |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.9% | -2.8% | CIBC Q3: Broad growth, resilient credit and expanded AI rollout |
| TD The Toronto-Dominion Bank | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | +1.4% | TD emphasizes growth investments alongside disciplined capital management |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-15T00:03:22.707476+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T13:00:45.675140+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T13:00:45.673280+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.