Raymond James Financial, Inc. · RJF · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

RJF pairs record revenue with heavier technology investment

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: adviser recruiting, asset growth and technology investment are reinforcing the platform, but the case depends on execution and on capital-markets and rate-sensitive revenues holding up.

Reported After market closeNYSEFinancial Services $30.93B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.86 Consensus $2.83
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.73B Consensus $3.81B
Revenue surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.4% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.7% Up to 20 sessions
RJFSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

RJF introduced its proprietary RA AI operations agent, reported strong adviser-driven net-asset growth, and continued acquisitions and capital deployment. Capital-markets revenue was weaker, adding a counterweight to the record overall result.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained; management emphasized continued long-term growth investment and a robust pipeline.

Key takeaways

  • Management highlighted record $3.7 billion net revenue and $31 billion of net new assets from adviser recruiting.
  • The quarter added the RA AI operations agent and continued roughly $1 billion annual technology investment.
  • Capital-markets revenue declined, but management characterized the pipeline as robust; acquisitions and buybacks continued.

Management priorities

  • Scale the RA AI platform and broader technology, cybersecurity and platform capabilities.
  • Continue adviser recruiting, fee-based asset growth and securities-based lending.
  • Pursue culturally and financially aligned acquisitions while maintaining quarterly share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
RJF EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2.31 Q2 '24 actual $2.31, match Q3 '24 estimate $2.32 Q3 '24 actual $2.39, beat Q4 '24 estimate $2.41 Q4 '24 actual $2.95, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.37 Q3 '25 actual $2.18, miss Q4 '25 estimate $2.83 Q4 '25 actual $3.11, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.83 Q1 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.76 Q2 '26 actual $2.83, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.93 Q3 '26 actual $3.14, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.36 Q1 '27 estimate $3.34 Q2 '27 estimate $3.48 Q3 '27 estimate $3.63
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy26 ratings
Bullish1246.2%
Neutral1453.8%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$159.85Current
$123Low
$159.71Average
$205High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 1, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 23, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainJul 23, 2026
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $159.85. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$160$178.17 +0.1%Sep 1, 2026
Truist FinancialDavid Smith$188$178.17 +17.6%Sep 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$184$172.75 +15.1%Jul 27, 2026
Raymond JamesMichael Cho$179$164.91 +12.0%Jul 23, 2026
Raymond JamesBrennan Hawken$175$165.16 +9.5%Jul 23, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Raymond James Financial, Inc. operates as a comprehensive financial services firm, extending a wide array of services to individuals, businesses, and governmental entities throughout the United States, Canada, and Europe. Its diverse operations are categorized into several key segments: Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Banking, and an "Other" category. The Private Client Group division equips clients with various investment solutions, personalized portfolio management, a selection of insurance and annuity products, and mutual funds. This segment also provides essential backing to third-party product partners, covering aspects like sales and marketing support, distribution, accounting, and general administrative assistance. Additionally, it facilitates margin loans and offers securities borrowing and lending services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T22:01:05.180539+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T22:01:05.178122+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.