Restaurant Brands International Inc. · QSR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

RBI posts solid Q3 growth as Popeyes and cost pressures remain watchpoints

RBI's Q3 showed resilient system growth and cash generation, with Burger King, Tim Hortons and international operations providing support. The investment case still depends on remodel execution, Popeyes recovery and protection from commodity and currency pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $25.46B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.10 Consensus $1.08
EPS surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.52B Consensus $2.55B
Revenue surprise -0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
QSRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described a fifth consecutive quarter of same-store sales above 3%, continued remodel progress and international expansion. New disclosures included Tim Hortons Matcha traction, a Moody's rating upgrade and Popeyes' ongoing same-store sales weakness.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management's forward priorities and outlook were presented without a stated change in guidance sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • System sales grew 6.2% and same-store sales remained above 3% for a fifth straight quarter.
  • Burger King regained the No. 2 U.S. burger position and continues to target broad remodel completion.
  • Tim Hortons Canada posted 1.8% same-store sales growth, supported by Matcha and loyalty partnerships.
  • Cash generation remained strong, while Popeyes same-store sales declined and cost and currency pressures persisted.

Management priorities

  • Advance Burger King remodels toward more than 85% of restaurants by 2028.
  • Extend Tim Hortons loyalty partnerships and seasonal product launches.
  • Expand Burger King China and other international restaurant networks.
  • Refocus Popeyes' core menu and improve unit economics.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
QSR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.86 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.95 Q3 '24 actual $0.93, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.97 Q2 '25 actual $0.94, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.00 Q3 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.95 Q4 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.04 Q2 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.08 Q3 '26 actual $1.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.04 Q1 '27 estimate $0.94 Q2 '27 estimate $1.16 Q3 '27 estimate $1.19
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy43 ratings
Bullish2660.5%
Neutral1534.9%
Bearish24.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$73.01Previous close
$47.74Low
$79.41Average
$95High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 29, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 15, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeSep 25, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $73.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesNick Setyan$85$74.34 +16.4%Oct 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$82$72.41 +12.3%Oct 15, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$86$73.29 +17.8%Sep 18, 2026
Seaport GlobalEric Gonzalez$88$75.51 +20.5%Sep 16, 2026
C.L. KingAnalyst unavailable$80$72.78 +9.6%Aug 10, 2026
See 55 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI), a prominent quick-service restaurant enterprise, maintains its headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Established in 1954, the company operates globally, managing and franchising four distinct and widely recognized brands: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). Through its Tim Hortons segment, RBI offers a diverse menu at its coffee, tea, and donut establishments. This includes a selection of hot and cold specialty beverages like espresso-based drinks, a variety of freshly baked goods such as donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies, and pastries, alongside savory options like grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, and soups.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T17:14:53.121066+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T08:50:45.275084+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T08:50:45.271780+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.