Restaurant Brands International Inc. · QSR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
RBI posts solid Q3 growth as Popeyes and cost pressures remain watchpoints
RBI's Q3 showed resilient system growth and cash generation, with Burger King, Tim Hortons and international operations providing support. The investment case still depends on remodel execution, Popeyes recovery and protection from commodity and currency pressure.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management described a fifth consecutive quarter of same-store sales above 3%, continued remodel progress and international expansion. New disclosures included Tim Hortons Matcha traction, a Moody's rating upgrade and Popeyes' ongoing same-store sales weakness.
Guidance delta
Maintained; management's forward priorities and outlook were presented without a stated change in guidance sentiment.
Key takeaways
- System sales grew 6.2% and same-store sales remained above 3% for a fifth straight quarter.
- Burger King regained the No. 2 U.S. burger position and continues to target broad remodel completion.
- Tim Hortons Canada posted 1.8% same-store sales growth, supported by Matcha and loyalty partnerships.
- Cash generation remained strong, while Popeyes same-store sales declined and cost and currency pressures persisted.
Management priorities
- Advance Burger King remodels toward more than 85% of restaurants by 2028.
- Extend Tim Hortons loyalty partnerships and seasonal product launches.
- Expand Burger King China and other international restaurant networks.
- Refocus Popeyes' core menu and improve unit economics.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Oct 15, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 29, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 25, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | May 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 7, 2026 |
| Baird | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 7, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 2, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jul 18, 2025 |
| CIBC | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 9, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 1, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 14, 2024 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Feb 13, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Nov 30, 2023 |
| Northcoast Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 22, 2023 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 20, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 3, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Feb 27, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Nov 4, 2022 |
| OTR Global | Positive | Mixed | Upgrade | Oct 10, 2022 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 1, 2020 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Mar 9, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Neutral | Downgrade | Jan 8, 2020 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Sep 30, 2019 |
| Piper Jaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 5, 2019 |
| Mizuho | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 16, 2018 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 30, 2018 |
| Instinet | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 12, 2017 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Feb 17, 2016 |
| Sterne Agee | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Feb 17, 2016 |
| Scotia Howard Weil | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 13, 2015 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $73.01. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho Securities | Nick Setyan | $85 | $74.34 | +16.4% | Oct 20, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Brian Harbour | $82 | $72.41 | +12.3% | Oct 15, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $73.29 | +17.8% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Seaport Global | Eric Gonzalez | $88 | $75.51 | +20.5% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| C.L. King | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $72.78 | +9.6% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $88 | $73.22 | +20.5% | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Brian Harbour | $79 | $74.61 | +8.2% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Lauren Silberman | $85 | $74.08 | +16.4% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Guggenheim | Gregory Francfort | $85 | $75.38 | +16.4% | May 26, 2026 |
| C.L. King | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $77.66 | +10.9% | May 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $76.76 | +9.6% | May 7, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $76.76 | +17.8% | May 7, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $77.18 | +9.6% | May 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $92 | $77.18 | +26.0% | May 7, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $78.92 | +23.3% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $79.14 | +15.1% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Chris O\'Cull | $90 | $71.71 | +23.3% | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Brian Mullan | $84 | $71.71 | +15.1% | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $71 | $66.44 | -2.8% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Jeffrey Bernstein | $82 | $66.35 | +12.3% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Jeffrey Bernstein | $86 | $67.68 | +17.8% | Jan 7, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $72.1 | +12.3% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $71.77 | +16.4% | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $66.72 | +1.4% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $67.76 | +5.5% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Jeffrey Bernstein | $78 | $65.07 | +6.8% | Aug 8, 2025 |
| UBS | Dennis Geiger | $85 | $66.74 | +16.4% | May 5, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Chris O'Cull | $68 | $60.88 | -6.9% | Jan 10, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Eric Gonzalez | $78 | $68.57 | +6.8% | Nov 6, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Christopher Carril | $95 | $68.91 | +30.1% | Sep 12, 2024 |
| Guggenheim | Gregory Francfort | $74 | $67.4 | +1.4% | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Jake Bartlett | $86 | $70.81 | +17.8% | Aug 19, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Brian Mullan | $75 | $70.51 | +2.7% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Jake Bartlett | $87 | $70.03 | +19.2% | Jul 9, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Eric Gonzalez | $80 | $69.33 | +9.6% | Jun 27, 2024 |
| UBS | Dennis Geiger | $90 | $69.33 | +23.3% | Jun 26, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Christine Cho | $80 | $68.87 | +9.6% | Jun 13, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Lauren Silberman | $90 | $73.22 | +23.3% | May 2, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Alton Stump | $93 | $73.14 | +27.4% | May 1, 2024 |
| Scotiabank | George Doumet | $81 | $73.97 | +10.9% | Apr 29, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Brian Bittner | $83 | $67.69 | +13.7% | Aug 28, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Brian Harbour | $74 | $66.08 | +1.4% | Feb 15, 2023 |
| Oppenheimer | Brian Bittner | $81 | $67.15 | +10.9% | Feb 10, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $72 | $67.87 | -1.4% | Feb 7, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $64.7 | +9.6% | Jan 5, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $68.17 | +9.6% | Nov 22, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $52.28 | -28.8% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $56 | $52.97 | -23.3% | May 5, 2022 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $68 | $55.16 | -6.9% | May 4, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $55.16 | -20.6% | May 4, 2022 |
| UBS | Dennis Geiger | $61.27 | $56.99 | -16.1% | Feb 10, 2022 |
| Bank of America Securities | Sara Senatore | $64 | $58.96 | -12.3% | Jan 11, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Nicole Miller Regan | $47.74 | $59.57 | -34.6% | Jan 3, 2022 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Alton Stump | $47.74 | $58.76 | -34.6% | Dec 23, 2021 |
| Guggenheim | Gregory Francfort | $63 | $56.48 | -13.7% | Nov 16, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Lauren Silberman | $73 | $56.48 | -0.0% | Nov 16, 2021 |
| Oppenheimer | Brian Bittner | $76 | $56.57 | +4.1% | Oct 26, 2021 |
| Wells Fargo | Jon Tower | $77 | $57.76 | +5.5% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| BMO Capital | Peter Sklar | $63 | $57.76 | -13.7% | Oct 25, 2021 |
| Goldman Sachs | Jared Garber | $59 | $59.86 | -19.2% | Jul 19, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationRestaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI), a prominent quick-service restaurant enterprise, maintains its headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Established in 1954, the company operates globally, managing and franchising four distinct and widely recognized brands: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). Through its Tim Hortons segment, RBI offers a diverse menu at its coffee, tea, and donut establishments. This includes a selection of hot and cold specialty beverages like espresso-based drinks, a variety of freshly baked goods such as donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies, and pastries, alongside savory options like grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, and soups.…
Consumer Cyclical peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWA BorgWarner Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +11.2% | -4.7% | BorgWarner pairs stronger Q3 execution with industrial expansion |
| SCI Service Corporation International | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -2.1% | -8.7% | SCI lowers guidance as cost pressures offset resilient pre-need demand |
| AVY Avery Dennison Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | +0.8% | Avery Dennison raises growth outlook as destocking fades |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- HWMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+6.6% EPS+5.5% move
- YPFFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+56.3% EPS-3.1% move
- WTWFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+1.1% EPS-0.3% move
- FTAIMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+1.4% EPS+1.6% move
- ATIFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+6.6% EPS+5.9% move
- EMEFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026+14.7% EPS+1.6% move
Missed on EPS
- BBVAFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-1.6% EPS-2.2% move
- INSMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-20.2% EPS+15.1% move
- STMFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-7.5% EPS+3.0% move
- SCIFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-2.1% EPS-8.7% move
- AMFY2026 Q3 · October 28, 2026-5.6% EPS+3.7% move
- INGFY2026 Q3 · October 29, 2026-5.1% EPS-2.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-29T17:14:53.121066+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T08:50:45.275084+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T08:50:45.271780+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.