Restaurant Brands International Inc. · QSR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

RBI posts broad Q2 growth as Burger King and international markets lead

RBI's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: growth broadened across the portfolio, Burger King U.S. outperformed, and international markets delivered double-digit comparable sales. The main test is whether menu innovation, remodels and refranchising can offset cost pressure and improve weaker areas such as Popeyes.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $25.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $1.04
EPS surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.52B Consensus $2.52B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
QSRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Q2 showed stronger portfolio momentum and a more explicit focus on execution: same-store sales growth reached 3.8%, Burger King U.S. delivered high-single-digit growth, international businesses produced double-digit comparable sales, and RBI highlighted progress toward an investment-grade balance sheet. Tim Hortons also added menu, beverage and loyalty initiatives, while Popeyes remained an operational concern.

Guidance delta

Maintained. The analysis describes guidance sentiment as maintained; management continued to emphasize the existing growth, remodeling, refranchising and capital-allocation plan.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis reported 3.8% same-store sales growth, 6.4% system-wide sales growth and 12.9% adjusted EPS growth.
  • Burger King U.S. was a leading contributor, with high-single-digit same-store sales growth tied to Whopper elevation and service initiatives.
  • International businesses, including Burger King, Popeyes and Firehouse Subs, delivered double-digit comparable sales growth and strong unit-level returns.
  • RBI returned $435 million to shareholders and continued progress toward an investment-grade balance sheet.

Management priorities

  • Continue menu innovation across Burger King and Tim Hortons.
  • Expand the Canadian Tire loyalty integration and beverage platforms at Tim Hortons.
  • Accelerate global unit growth and modern-image remodels.
  • Advance refranchising and capital-allocation efforts toward investment-grade leverage by 2028.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
QSR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '26 actual $2B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, match Q3 '26 estimate $3B Q3 '26 actual $3B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '27 estimate $2B Q2 '27 estimate $3B Q3 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy43 ratings
Bullish2660.5%
Neutral1534.9%
Bearish24.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$72.41Current
$47.74Low
$79.72Average
$95High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 29, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 15, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeSep 25, 2026
Show 38 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $72.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAndrew Strelzik$91$73.01 +25.7%Oct 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNick Setyan$85$74.34 +17.4%Oct 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$82$72.41 +13.2%Oct 15, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$86$73.29 +18.8%Sep 18, 2026
Seaport GlobalEric Gonzalez$88$75.51 +21.5%Sep 16, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI), a prominent quick-service restaurant enterprise, maintains its headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Established in 1954, the company operates globally, managing and franchising four distinct and widely recognized brands: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). Through its Tim Hortons segment, RBI offers a diverse menu at its coffee, tea, and donut establishments. This includes a selection of hot and cold specialty beverages like espresso-based drinks, a variety of freshly baked goods such as donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies, and pastries, alongside savory options like grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, and soups.…

Historical context

All QSR earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T21:16:07.584782+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T03:10:42.771861+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T03:10:42.769046+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.