Restaurant Brands International Inc. · QSR · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

RBI posts broad Q2 growth as Burger King and international markets lead

RBI's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating picture: growth broadened across the portfolio, Burger King U.S. outperformed, and international markets delivered double-digit comparable sales. The main test is whether menu innovation, remodels and refranchising can offset cost pressure and improve weaker areas such as Popeyes.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $25.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $1.04
EPS surprise +2.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.52B Consensus $2.52B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.1% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +10.1% Up to 20 sessions
QSRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Q2 showed stronger portfolio momentum and a more explicit focus on execution: same-store sales growth reached 3.8%, Burger King U.S. delivered high-single-digit growth, international businesses produced double-digit comparable sales, and RBI highlighted progress toward an investment-grade balance sheet. Tim Hortons also added menu, beverage and loyalty initiatives, while Popeyes remained an operational concern.

Guidance delta

Maintained. The analysis describes guidance sentiment as maintained; management continued to emphasize the existing growth, remodeling, refranchising and capital-allocation plan.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis reported 3.8% same-store sales growth, 6.4% system-wide sales growth and 12.9% adjusted EPS growth.
  • Burger King U.S. was a leading contributor, with high-single-digit same-store sales growth tied to Whopper elevation and service initiatives.
  • International businesses, including Burger King, Popeyes and Firehouse Subs, delivered double-digit comparable sales growth and strong unit-level returns.
  • RBI returned $435 million to shareholders and continued progress toward an investment-grade balance sheet.

Management priorities

  • Continue menu innovation across Burger King and Tim Hortons.
  • Expand the Canadian Tire loyalty integration and beverage platforms at Tim Hortons.
  • Accelerate global unit growth and modern-image remodels.
  • Advance refranchising and capital-allocation efforts toward investment-grade leverage by 2028.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
QSR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.86 Q2 '24 actual $0.86, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.95 Q3 '24 actual $0.93, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.97 Q2 '25 actual $0.94, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.00 Q3 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.95 Q4 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.83 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.04 Q2 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.08 Q3 '26 actual $1.10, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.03 Q1 '27 estimate $0.95 Q2 '27 estimate $1.16 Q3 '27 estimate $1.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy43 ratings
Bullish2660.5%
Neutral1534.9%
Bearish24.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$72.41Current
$47.74Low
$79.72Average
$95High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 29, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 15, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 29, 2026
Argus Research Hold BuyDowngradeSep 25, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 7, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 7, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainMay 7, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 7, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMay 4, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 21, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 20, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 18, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 2, 2026
Stifel Buy HoldUpgradeMar 2, 2026
B of A Securities Underperform UnderperformMaintainJul 18, 2025
CIBC Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 9, 2025
TD Securities Hold HoldMaintainFeb 25, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainMay 1, 2024
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 14, 2024
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 13, 2024
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeNov 30, 2023
Northcoast Research Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 22, 2023
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 3, 2023
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 27, 2023
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeNov 4, 2022
OTR Global Positive MixedUpgradeOct 10, 2022
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 1, 2020
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 9, 2020
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeJan 8, 2020
Longbow Research Neutral UnderperformUpgradeSep 30, 2019
Piper Jaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 5, 2019
Mizuho Buy BuyMaintainMar 16, 2018
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainJan 30, 2018
Instinet Buy BuyMaintainJul 12, 2017
Sterne Agee CRT Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 17, 2016
Sterne Agee Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainFeb 17, 2016
Scotia Howard Weil Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 13, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $72.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalAndrew Strelzik$91$73.01 +25.7%Oct 30, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNick Setyan$85$74.34 +17.4%Oct 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$82$72.41 +13.2%Oct 15, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$86$73.29 +18.8%Sep 18, 2026
Seaport GlobalEric Gonzalez$88$75.51 +21.5%Sep 16, 2026
C.L. KingAnalyst unavailable$80$72.78 +10.5%Aug 10, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Palmer$88$73.22 +21.5%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$79$74.61 +9.1%Jul 15, 2026
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$85$74.08 +17.4%Jul 9, 2026
GuggenheimGregory Francfort$85$75.38 +17.4%May 26, 2026
C.L. KingAnalyst unavailable$81$77.66 +11.9%May 7, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$80$76.76 +10.5%May 7, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$86$76.76 +18.8%May 7, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$80$77.18 +10.5%May 7, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$92$77.18 +27.1%May 7, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$78.92 +24.3%Apr 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$84$79.14 +16.0%Apr 15, 2026
Stifel NicolausChris O\'Cull$90$71.71 +24.3%Mar 2, 2026
Piper SandlerBrian Mullan$84$71.71 +16.0%Mar 2, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$71$66.44 -1.9%Feb 13, 2026
BernsteinJeffrey Bernstein$82$66.35 +13.2%Feb 13, 2026
BernsteinJeffrey Bernstein$86$67.68 +18.8%Jan 7, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$82$72.1 +13.2%Dec 9, 2025
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$85$71.77 +17.4%Dec 2, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$74$66.72 +2.2%Oct 31, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$77$67.76 +6.3%Oct 21, 2025
BernsteinJeffrey Bernstein$78$65.07 +7.7%Aug 8, 2025
UBSDennis Geiger$85$66.74 +17.4%May 5, 2025
Stifel NicolausChris O'Cull$68$60.88 -6.1%Jan 10, 2025
KeyBancEric Gonzalez$78$68.57 +7.7%Nov 6, 2024
RBC CapitalChristopher Carril$95$68.91 +31.2%Sep 12, 2024
GuggenheimGregory Francfort$74$67.4 +2.2%Sep 9, 2024
Truist FinancialJake Bartlett$86$70.81 +18.8%Aug 19, 2024
Piper SandlerBrian Mullan$75$70.51 +3.6%Aug 12, 2024
Truist FinancialJake Bartlett$87$70.03 +20.1%Jul 9, 2024
KeyBancEric Gonzalez$80$69.33 +10.5%Jun 27, 2024
UBSDennis Geiger$90$69.33 +24.3%Jun 26, 2024
Goldman SachsChristine Cho$80$68.87 +10.5%Jun 13, 2024
Deutsche BankLauren Silberman$90$73.22 +24.3%May 2, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsAlton Stump$93$73.14 +28.4%May 1, 2024
ScotiabankGeorge Doumet$81$73.97 +11.9%Apr 29, 2024
OppenheimerBrian Bittner$83$67.69 +14.6%Aug 28, 2023
Morgan StanleyBrian Harbour$74$66.08 +2.2%Feb 15, 2023
OppenheimerBrian Bittner$81$67.15 +11.9%Feb 10, 2023
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$72$67.87 -0.6%Feb 7, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$64.7 +10.5%Jan 5, 2023
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$80$68.17 +10.5%Nov 22, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$52$52.28 -28.2%Jul 18, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$56$52.97 -22.7%May 5, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$68$55.16 -6.1%May 4, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$58$55.16 -19.9%May 4, 2022
UBSDennis Geiger$61.27$56.99 -15.4%Feb 10, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesSara Senatore$64$58.96 -11.6%Jan 11, 2022
Piper SandlerNicole Miller Regan$47.74$59.57 -34.1%Jan 3, 2022
Loop Capital MarketsAlton Stump$47.74$58.76 -34.1%Dec 23, 2021
GuggenheimGregory Francfort$63$56.48 -13.0%Nov 16, 2021
Credit SuisseLauren Silberman$73$56.48 +0.8%Nov 16, 2021
OppenheimerBrian Bittner$76$56.57 +5.0%Oct 26, 2021
Wells FargoJon Tower$77$57.76 +6.3%Oct 25, 2021
BMO CapitalPeter Sklar$63$57.76 -13.0%Oct 25, 2021
Goldman SachsJared Garber$59$59.86 -18.5%Jul 19, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI), a prominent quick-service restaurant enterprise, maintains its headquarters in Toronto, Canada. Established in 1954, the company operates globally, managing and franchising four distinct and widely recognized brands: Tim Hortons (TH), Burger King (BK), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK), and Firehouse Subs (FHS). Through its Tim Hortons segment, RBI offers a diverse menu at its coffee, tea, and donut establishments. This includes a selection of hot and cold specialty beverages like espresso-based drinks, a variety of freshly baked goods such as donuts, Timbits, bagels, muffins, cookies, and pastries, alongside savory options like grilled paninis, classic sandwiches, wraps, and soups.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T21:16:07.584782+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T03:10:42.771861+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T03:10:42.769046+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.