FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Phillips 66 (PSX) earnings history

Phillips 66 (PSX) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PSX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.17 Q1 '24 actual $1.90, miss Q2 '24 estimate $1.98 Q2 '24 actual $2.31, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.71 Q3 '24 actual $2.04, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.72 Q2 '25 actual $2.38, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.14 Q3 '25 actual $2.52, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.15 Q4 '25 actual $2.47, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.54 Q1 '26 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '26 estimate $7.50 Q2 '26 actual $9.41, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11.73 Q4 '26 estimate $5.34 Q1 '27 estimate $4.14
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PSX FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Phillips 66

Phillips 66's Q2 analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: stronger margins, utilization, midstream expansion and faster debt reduction improve the setup, but the case remains dependent on market capture, regulatory support for renewable fuels and continued execution.

EPS surprise+25.5%
Market move-1.6%
PSX FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Phillips 66

Phillips 66 reported Q1 2026 adjusted earnings of $200 million (EPS of $0.49), sharply beating consensus estimates of a $0.54 loss, as a 138% market-capture rate leveraged global refining disruptions from Middle East tensions. Revenue of $33.0 billion fell approximately 8% below estimates. The quarter was dominated by an $839 million mark-to-market loss on hedge positions, yet the company generated $700 million in operating cash flow, returned $778 million to shareholders, and maintained its commitment to return over 50% of cash flow while reducing debt toward $17 billion by 2027. The stock rose 5.1% on the print with an additional 1.9% subsequent drift. Management pointed to the Western Gateway pipeline FID in mid-to-late summer 2026 (a Kinder Morgan joint venture), doubled renewable diesel RIN credits year-over-year, and CPChem growth projects (Golden Triangle polymers, RPP Qatar)…

EPS surprise+190.3%
Market move+5.1%
PSX FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Phillips 66

The latest analysis supports a constructive but execution-dependent view: strong operations, cost-reduction progress and midstream expansion provide support, while refining conditions, project timing and chemical margins remain important constraints.

EPS surprise+14.9%
Market move+4.5%
PSX FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Phillips 66

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: strong refining execution, midstream expansion, and integration benefits could support the operating case, while debt reduction, capital efficiency, permitting, and margin sensitivity remain material tests.

EPS surprise+17.8%
Market move+3.2%
PSX FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Phillips 66

The quarter supports a constructive operating case: record refining performance, $1 billion of Midstream adjusted EBITDA, and continued shareholder returns point to resilient execution. The case remains conditional on debt reduction, Midstream delivery, chemicals margins, renewable-fuels economics, and strategic execution.

EPS surprise+38.4%
Market move+0.5%
PSX FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Phillips 66

The supplied analysis supports a measured positive operating thesis: Phillips 66 is building a larger Midstream earnings base and improving refinery flexibility, but the case depends on execution, debt reduction, and resilience against margin, tariff, and renewable-fuel policy risks.

EPS surprise—
Market move-0.7%
PSX FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Phillips 66

The supplied analysis supports a measured positive view of Phillips 66's trajectory: midstream expansion, cost reductions and capital discipline provide potential support, but refining margins, shutdown impacts, leverage and chemicals recovery remain material constraints.

EPS surprise—
Market move-2.5%

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