PPL Corporation · PPL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

PPL reaffirms 2026 guidance as data-center pipeline expands

PPL's reaffirmed guidance and expanding large-load pipeline support a constructive growth case, but the thesis depends on converting data-center demand into contracts and regulated returns while managing execution and regulatory risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $25.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.33 Consensus $0.34
EPS surprise -3.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.11B Consensus $2.19B
Revenue surprise -3.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +1.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.0% Up to 20 sessions
PPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, data-center agreements increased to about 32 GW, with more than 11 GW under firm ESAs; the Invitium opportunity is now described as potentially driving $10-$12 billion of incremental capital investment through 2032. Management also highlighted Rhode Island rate support and continued progress toward commercial agreements.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed 2026 earnings guidance of $1.90-$1.98 per share and expects stronger second-half performance.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 2026 earnings were $0.33 per share, while management reaffirmed full-year guidance.
  • Data-center agreements total about 32 GW, with more than 11 GW under firm ESAs.
  • The Invitium joint venture could support $10-$12 billion of incremental capital investment through 2032.

Management priorities

  • Secure one or more commercial agreements for Invitium Energy by year-end.
  • Deploy approximately $5 billion of capital investments in 2026.
  • Expand large-load tariffs and advance pumped-storage and battery projects.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PPL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.50 Q1 '24 actual $0.54, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.33 Q2 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.39 Q2 '25 actual $0.32, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.41 Q4 '25 actual $0.41, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.62 Q1 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.33, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '27 estimate $0.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2172.4%
Neutral827.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.05Current
$28.5Low
$37.52Average
$48High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 20, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.05. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$39$33.36 +18.0%Sep 18, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$35$33.79 +5.9%Sep 15, 2026
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$44$35.04 +33.1%Aug 25, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$42$36.02 +27.1%Aug 17, 2026
BMO CapitalJames Thalacker$38$35.08 +15.0%Aug 10, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PPL Corporation provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 3.6 million customers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Kentucky Regulated, Pennsylvania Regulated, and Rhode Island Regulated. The company engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in eastern and central Pennsylvania; generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island; distribution and sale of natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island; sale of wholesale electricity in Kentucky; and generation of electricity from power plants in Kentucky. It generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources. The company was formerly known as PP&L Resources, Inc. and changed its name to PPL Corporation in 2000. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

All PPL earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T21:15:43.427022+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-12T01:23:12.567806+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T23:10:48.847862+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T23:10:48.844987+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.