Sempra · SREA · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Sempra sees Texas transmission growth offset California regulatory risk

The call supports a growth case centered on Texas transmission investment and strong customer demand, while California regulatory outcomes and Texas project approvals leave execution risks. Management maintained its 2026 and 2027 outlook and said it expects to fund growth through internal cash flow and flexible financing.

Why did SREA fall 0.1% after beating EPS estimates in FY2026 Q3?

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Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $12.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.40 Consensus $1.22
EPS surprise +14.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.19B Consensus $3.31B
Revenue surprise -3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move -4.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
SREASPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management announced a 20% increase to Oncor's base capital plan, to approximately $57.5 billion, alongside a separate incremental capital bucket. It also said the SI Partners sale is expected to close within two weeks, with proceeds intended for debt reduction.

Guidance delta

Management guided to the high end of its 2026 EPS range and affirmed 2027 guidance; no numerical guidance range was supplied in the call analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted earnings rose 26% year over year, with Texas transmission growth and modest California gains identified as drivers.
  • Oncor's base capital plan increased 20% to approximately $57.5 billion, with an additional incremental capital bucket.
  • Management maintained its 2026 and 2027 outlook, while the California regulatory decision remains a potential 2027 earnings pressure.

Management priorities

  • Complete the SI Partners sale and use proceeds to pay down debt.
  • Advance Texas transmission opportunities, including Path 2 and batch-zero studies.
  • Proceed with California infrastructure modernization, including Golden State Power Link and compressor station work.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
SREA EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 7 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $1.18, None Q2 '25 estimate $0.85 Q2 '25 actual $0.72, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.91 Q3 '25 actual $0.15, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.24 Q4 '25 actual $1.28, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.49 Q1 '26 actual $1.59, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.06 Q2 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.22 Q3 '26 actual $1.40, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.64 Q1 '27 estimate $1.59 Q2 '27 estimate $0.92 Q3 '27 estimate $0.90

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Sempra is an energy services holding firm dedicated to the development, management, and operation of essential energy infrastructure. The company also provides electric and natural gas utilities. Its operations are divided into several key divisions: Sempra California, Sempra Texas Utilities, Sempra Infrastructure, and a miscellaneous "All Other" category. Through its fully-owned subsidiaries, SDG&E and SoCalGas, the Sempra California segment delivers natural gas and electricity services to residences and businesses in Southern California and portions of the central region. The Sempra Texas Utilities division oversees the company's investment in Oncor Holdings. Meanwhile, the Sempra Infrastructure segment encompasses the operational components of its subsidiary, SI Partners, along with a holding company and various associated service companies. The enterprise was founded on October 11, 1996, and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T21:12:44.338686+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-06T01:23:16.275024+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-06T12:20:45.301809+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.