PPL Corporation · PPL · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

PPL raises outlook as data-center demand expands capital plan

The call supports a constructive operating trajectory: management raised guidance, cited strong data-center demand, and outlined substantial rate-base investment. The thesis remains conditional because execution depends on regulatory approvals, financing, and conversion of capital spending into earnings growth.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $25.36B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.37
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $2.50B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.4% Up to 20 sessions
PPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management moved from a $14.3 billion infrastructure plan through 2027 and 2024 guidance to a $20 billion plan through 2028 and higher 2025 guidance. The analysis also highlights expanded generation, solar, battery, and data-center interconnection plans, alongside a clearer $2.5 billion equity-financing requirement.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 earnings guidance to $1.75-$1.87 per share and indicated 7% growth from 2024.

Key takeaways

  • Management raised 2025 earnings guidance to $1.75-$1.87 per share.
  • The updated capital plan calls for $20 billion through 2028 and targets roughly 9.5%-10% annual rate-base growth.
  • Management identified $2.5 billion of equity financing as necessary, with ATM and hybrid structures providing flexibility.
  • Data-center interconnection demand remains a key driver, while regulatory approvals and financing execution remain important risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $20 billion infrastructure investment plan through 2028.
  • Advance data-center interconnection projects and generation, solar, and battery additions.
  • Pursue regulatory filings and rate cases across Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PPL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2B Q1 '24 actual $2B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $2B Q2 '24 actual $2B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2B Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $2B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2B Q3 '25 actual $2B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2B Q4 '25 actual $2B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2B Q2 '26 actual $2B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q4 '26 estimate $2B Q1 '27 estimate $3B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2172.4%
Neutral827.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$33.84Current
$28.5Low
$37.91Average
$48High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $33.84. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$36$32.11 +6.4%Sep 29, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$44$32.03 +30.0%Sep 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$39$33.36 +15.3%Sep 18, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$35$33.79 +3.4%Sep 15, 2026
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$44$35.04 +30.0%Aug 25, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PPL Corporation provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 3.6 million customers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Kentucky Regulated, Pennsylvania Regulated, and Rhode Island Regulated. The company engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in eastern and central Pennsylvania; generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island; distribution and sale of natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island; sale of wholesale electricity in Kentucky; and generation of electricity from power plants in Kentucky. It generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources. The company was formerly known as PP&L Resources, Inc. and changed its name to PPL Corporation in 2000. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-30T00:03:07.291072+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T15:50:43.905747+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T15:50:43.903524+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.