PPL Corporation · PPL · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

PPL raises guidance as data-center demand expands its capital plan

The quarter strengthened the case that PPL's earnings trajectory can benefit from data-center demand and infrastructure investment: guidance rose, the capital plan expanded around load growth, and management cited progress in storage, renewables and integration. The countercase is execution—regulatory recovery, construction timing, storm costs and funding needs remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $25.78B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.42 Consensus $0.39
EPS surprise +7.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.07B Consensus $2.05B
Revenue surprise +0.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -3.1% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -3.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +9.1% Up to 20 sessions
PPLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

PPL raised its 2024 earnings guidance midpoint to $1.70 per share. Management also described $600-$700 million of additional data-center-related capex through 2029, completed Rhode Island Energy integration and highlighted expanded battery, solar and gas-generation plans.

Guidance delta

Raised: 2024 earnings guidance moved to $1.67-$1.73 per share, with a $1.70 midpoint, versus the prior quarter's maintained guidance of $1.63-$1.75.

Key takeaways

  • PPL raised its 2024 earnings guidance midpoint to $1.70 per share.
  • Data-center load growth is linked to $600-$700 million of additional capex through 2029.
  • The $14.3 billion infrastructure plan includes combined-cycle gas plants, solar and battery storage.
  • Rhode Island Energy integration is complete, while regulatory and construction risks remain.

Management priorities

  • Advance data-center transmission and generation projects.
  • Execute the infrastructure plan, including new gas, solar and battery assets.
  • Continue Rhode Island Energy integration and grid modernization.
  • Pursue O&M savings and regulatory recovery for eligible costs.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
PPL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.50 Q1 '24 actual $0.54, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.33 Q2 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.39 Q3 '24 actual $0.42, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.39 Q2 '25 actual $0.32, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.46 Q3 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.41 Q4 '25 actual $0.41, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.62 Q1 '26 actual $0.63, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.34 Q2 '26 actual $0.33, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.53 Q4 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '27 estimate $0.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy29 ratings
Bullish2172.4%
Neutral827.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$34.34Current
$28.5Low
$37.91Average
$48High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 17, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 10, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $34.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$36$32.11 +4.8%Sep 29, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$44$32.03 +28.1%Sep 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$39$33.36 +13.6%Sep 18, 2026
RBC CapitalStephen D\'Ambrisi$35$33.79 +1.9%Sep 15, 2026
JefferiesPaul Zimbardo$44$35.04 +28.1%Aug 25, 2026
See 44 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

PPL Corporation provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 3.6 million customers in the United States. It operates in three segments: Kentucky Regulated, Pennsylvania Regulated, and Rhode Island Regulated. The company engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in eastern and central Pennsylvania; generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in Kentucky, Virginia, and Rhode Island; distribution and sale of natural gas in Kentucky and Rhode Island; sale of wholesale electricity in Kentucky; and generation of electricity from power plants in Kentucky. It generates electricity from coal, gas, hydro, and solar sources. The company was formerly known as PP&L Resources, Inc. and changed its name to PPL Corporation in 2000. PPL Corporation was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

All PPL earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T22:30:42.449200+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T22:30:42.446142+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.