OGE Energy Corp. · OGE · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

OGE maintains 2026 outlook as large-load growth advances

OGE's quarter paired modest weather-related earnings pressure with maintained full-year guidance and continued progress on large-load contracts, generation, storage and transmission. The key question is whether regulatory approvals and project execution convert that pipeline into durable rate-base growth without weakening credit metrics.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $10.23B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.24 Consensus $0.24
EPS surprise 0.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $752.6M Consensus $616.0M
Revenue surprise +22.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.5% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.1% Up to 20 sessions
OGESPY benchmark

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What changed

Q1 earnings were pressured by mild weather, while management maintained full-year EPS guidance of $2.38-$2.48 per share. The company also highlighted 600 MW of secured solar capacity, 1.7 GW of new generation and storage projects, Google data-center contracts, and progress on a large-load tariff.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year EPS guidance remains $2.38-$2.48 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Mild weather reduced Q1 earnings, but management maintained full-year guidance.
  • Google data-center contracts and the large-load tariff support the growth pipeline.
  • Solar, storage and generation commitments expand planned capacity.
  • Execution, approvals and financing remain central to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Advance the large-load tariff and related regulatory filings.
  • Seek approvals for Frontier Energy storage and transmission projects.
  • Integrate solar and other generation contracts into the capital plan.
  • Preserve credit-supportive metrics through disciplined capital allocation.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
OGE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.46 Q2 '24 actual $0.51, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.13 Q3 '24 actual $1.09, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.55 Q2 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1.16 Q3 '25 actual $1.14, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.30 Q4 '25 actual $0.33, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.24 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, match Q2 '26 estimate $0.55 Q2 '26 actual $0.56, match Q3 '26 estimate $1.36 Q3 '26 actual $1.52, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.32 Q1 '27 estimate $0.27 Q2 '27 estimate $0.58 Q3 '27 estimate $1.17
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold24 ratings
Bullish937.5%
Neutral1562.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$49.47Current
$39Low
$47.81Average
$55High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 29, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 9, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $49.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$54$49.2 +9.2%Oct 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$47$48 -5.0%Oct 21, 2026
Wells FargoShahriar Pourreza$49$46.72 -1.0%Oct 20, 2026
BarclaysNicholas Campanella$48$47.53 -3.0%Oct 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$46$45.54 -7.0%Sep 18, 2026
See 31 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

OGE Energy Corp., along with its various subsidiaries, operates as a comprehensive energy and utility provider. The company facilitates the physical delivery and associated services for electricity, natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids across the United States. Its core operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electrical power. OGE Energy serves approximately 879,000 retail electric customers within an expansive service area spanning about 30,000 square miles in Oklahoma and western Arkansas. The company also owns and manages a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, utilizing coal, natural gas, wind, and solar sources. As of December 31, 2021, OGE Energy Corp.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T06:10:39.343328+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T06:10:39.340524+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.