Dominion Energy, Inc. · D · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

Dominion raises guidance as data-center demand and CVOW progress

Dominion's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating trajectory: management raised full-year guidance, cited strong data-center demand, and reported progress on CVOW. The main counterweights are merger approvals, project execution, financing requirements and fuel-price exposure.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $57.27B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.21
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.90B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move -2.0% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
DSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to raised; CVOW progress advanced from 81% to 85% complete; data-center capacity increased from over 53 GW to over 54 GW; and management highlighted a $900 million fuel-securitization approval plus an updated plan adding 4 GW of solar and 2 GW of battery storage.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year guidance to the top half of its original range.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported Q3 operating EPS of $1.28 and GAAP EPS of $1.30.
  • CVOW was described as 85% complete, on budget, and targeting 2027 completion.
  • Data-center capacity reached over 54 GW, with 12 GW under service agreements.

Management priorities

  • Complete and energize CVOW on the stated schedule.
  • Advance regulatory approvals and integration planning for the NextEra Energy combination.
  • Expand solar and battery storage under the updated Virginia IRP while maintaining financing flexibility.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
D EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.55 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.98, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.68 Q2 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.95 Q3 '25 actual $1.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.67 Q4 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.90 Q1 '26 actual $0.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.68 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.21 Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $1.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1136.7%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish26.6%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$66.91Current
$52Low
$66.43Average
$92High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 20, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 12, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeAug 19, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $66.91. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Crowdell$67$62.21 +0.1%Oct 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$65$63.56 -2.9%Oct 19, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$62$61.64 -7.3%Oct 12, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$68.64 +19.6%Aug 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$70$68.76 +4.6%Aug 17, 2026
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dominion Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that provides regulated electricity and natural gas services. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to customers in Virginia and the Carolinas, and distributes natural gas to customers in multiple states including South Carolina, Ohio, and Utah. The company's asset portfolio includes electric generation capacity from various sources including renewables, electric transmission and distribution lines, and natural gas infrastructure.

Historical context

All D earnings

Utilities peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
EIX Edison International FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.3% -0.2% Edison reaffirms 2026 outlook as wildfire reform remains unresolved
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +21.5% +3.7% WEC raises 2026 guidance as data-center demand expands capital plan

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T18:06:48.518302+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T18:10:42.769280+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T18:10:42.766667+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.