Dominion Energy, Inc. · D · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Dominion Energy Holds Guidance as Data-Center Demand Grows

Dominion's maintained guidance and strong data-center demand support the operating outlook, but the investment case still depends on executing offshore wind, generation, storage, and merger-related regulatory milestones.

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $55.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.79 Consensus $0.68
EPS surprise +16.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.48B Consensus $4.04B
Revenue surprise +10.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.8% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -1.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
DSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added evidence of sustained load growth: Dominion reported more than 53 GW of data-center capacity under contract. CVOW advanced to 81% completion, while the NextEra Energy merger moved into regulatory processes; the project cost estimate rose modestly to $11.65 billion after a net $40 million reduction.

Guidance delta

Maintained: full-year guidance remains unchanged.

Key takeaways

  • Operating earnings beat expectations while full-year guidance remained unchanged.
  • CVOW reached 81% completion, with the final turbine expected by year-end 2027.
  • The NextEra Energy merger is advancing through regulatory processes.
  • Data-center demand and new generation projects remain central to the growth plan.

Management priorities

  • Complete CVOW final turbine installation and bring remaining capacity online by year-end 2027.
  • Advance regulatory approvals for the NextEra Energy merger.
  • Commission the Canadys and Mount Storm combined-cycle plants.
  • Scale battery storage projects and expand data-center service contracts.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
D EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.55 Q1 '24 actual $0.55, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.56 Q2 '24 actual $0.65, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.98, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.68 Q2 '25 actual $0.75, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.95 Q3 '25 actual $1.06, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.67 Q4 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.90 Q1 '26 actual $0.95, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.68 Q2 '26 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.20 Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $1.13
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold30 ratings
Bullish1136.7%
Neutral1756.7%
Bearish26.6%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$62.82Current
$52Low
$67.5Average
$92High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy HoldUpgradeAug 19, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 17, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 26 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $62.82. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$68.64 +27.3%Aug 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$70$68.76 +11.4%Aug 17, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$66$68.36 +5.1%Aug 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$71$70.84 +13.0%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$68.98 +9.8%Jun 24, 2026
See 53 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Dominion Energy, Inc. is an American energy company that provides regulated electricity and natural gas services. It generates, transmits, and distributes electricity to customers in Virginia and the Carolinas, and distributes natural gas to customers in multiple states including South Carolina, Ohio, and Utah. The company's asset portfolio includes electric generation capacity from various sources including renewables, electric transmission and distribution lines, and natural gas infrastructure.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-14T15:14:22.773481+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-05T01:23:14.965082+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T01:10:50.758878+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T01:10:50.755743+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.