NXP Semiconductors N.V. · NXPI · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

NXP posts strong Q3 as SDV and AI demand drive growth

NXP's Q3 analysis supports a constructive operating case: resilient automotive and Industrial/IoT demand, SDV adoption, and data-center growth are reinforcing near-term performance while new AI products and capacity investments extend the opportunity. Execution, pricing, and demand durability remain key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $61.99B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $4.12
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $3.76B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

close-to-close (session unavailable)
Stock move +3.1% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move +2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
NXPISPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, NXP's automotive business crossed $2 billion, Industrial and IoT growth accelerated to 39% year over year, and the data-center target advanced from exceeding $500 million in 2026 to reaching $1 billion by 2028. The company also announced an additional $5 billion share-repurchase authorization.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance, with the analysis citing reaffirmed Q4 and 2027 double-digit growth expectations.

Key takeaways

  • The analysis describes Q3 revenue of $3.79 billion, up 19% year over year, with record non-GAAP operating margin of 37%.
  • Automotive revenue crossed $2 billion, while Industrial and IoT grew 39% year over year.
  • Data-center revenue is expected to exceed $500 million this year and target $1 billion by 2028.

Management priorities

  • Ramp S32K5, S32N and eIQ NPU products.
  • Expand data-center control-plane and AI-enabled processor revenue.
  • Complete VSMC and ESMC investments and add Malaysia assembly and test capacity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NXPI REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $3B Q1 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $3B Q2 '24 actual $3B, match Q3 '24 estimate $3B Q3 '24 actual $3B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $3B Q2 '25 actual $3B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3B Q3 '25 actual $3B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3B Q4 '25 actual $3B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3B Q1 '26 actual $3B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3B Q2 '26 actual $3B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4B Q4 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '27 estimate $4B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish2965.9%
Neutral1329.6%
Bearish24.5%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$253.5Current
$150Low
$255.13Average
$370High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 28, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 19, 2026
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 8, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $253.5. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$265$239.6 +4.5%Oct 5, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$270$229.16 +6.5%Aug 3, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$282$240.58 +11.2%Jul 29, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$190$259.12 -25.0%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinStacy Rasgon$290$259.12 +14.4%Jul 29, 2026
See 85 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field communication (NFC), ultra-wideband (UWB), Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE), Zigbee, and integrated Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth Systems-on-Chip (SoCs). Furthermore, its offerings extend to analog and interface devices, radio frequency power amplifiers, and robust security controllers.…

Historical context

All NXPI earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
MANH Manhattan Associates, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — -1.0% Manhattan Associates: Cloud Growth and RPO Momentum Continue
FFIV F5, Inc. FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2026 — -0.5% F5 pairs AI-security investment with 8%-9% FY27 growth outlook
CLS Celestica Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.6% +12.1% Celestica raises outlook as AI networking demand accelerates
GLW Corning Inc FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — -0.4% Corning’s optical growth accelerates, while solar remains a drag

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-27T23:02:53.259424+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-27T01:23:15.065758+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-27T23:20:40.846431+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-27T23:20:40.843809+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-27. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.