FN2 Earnings Intelligence

Moderna, Inc. earnings overview

Latest Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) earnings intelligence, including the newest scorecard, market reaction, and transcript analysis.

Next reportModerna, Inc. reports Friday, Nov 6, 2026 · Before market openConsensus EPS $-1.11 · consensus revenue $891.3M
MRNA FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Moderna, Inc.

The quarter provided support for Moderna's commercial and pipeline expansion thesis through a revenue beat, flu-vaccine progress, global approvals, and continued oncology development. The evidence is mixed: the norovirus interim result, litigation cash cost, regulatory uncertainty, COVID-demand risk, and manufacturing constraints temper the outlook.

EPS surprise+3.0%
Market move-5.4%
MRNA FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Moderna, Inc.

Moderna's first quarter of FY2026 beat consensus on both revenue and EPS, with $389M in revenue (a 65% surprise) driven by international partnerships, particularly the UK. A $950M Arbutus litigation settlement inflated the reported net loss to $1.3B, but the underlying loss narrowed to $0.5B as cost discipline held. Management maintained its 2026 revenue growth target of up to 10%, with EU approvals for the flu-COVID combo vaccine and upcoming oncology readouts as the next catalysts. The stock's muted reaction (-1.5% abnormal) suggests investors are looking past the headline beat toward pipeline execution and regulatory milestones later in the year.

EPS surprise+23.6%
Market move-1.2%
MRNA FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Moderna, Inc.

The current analysis strengthens the case for a more constructive trajectory: management raised its guidance sentiment, cited up to 10% 2026 revenue growth, reported strong MNEXT Spike share, and highlighted pipeline progress. The thesis remains conditional because flu-program regulatory uncertainty, clinical readout timing, competition and international execution could limit delivery.

EPS surprise+16.9%
Market move+5.3%
MRNA FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Moderna, Inc.

The quarter supports a mixed view: cost discipline and mNEXSPIKE share gains strengthen the operating trajectory, but weaker COVID demand, the CMV setback and reliance on future approvals leave the broader growth case unproven.

EPS surprise+72.7%
Market move+3.3%
MRNA FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Moderna, Inc.

The quarter supports a mixed view: portfolio expansion, flu efficacy data and cost discipline strengthen the longer-term pipeline and operating outlook, while lower guidance, seasonal COVID demand and regulatory dependence limit near-term visibility.

EPS surprise+28.8%
Market move-6.6%
MRNA FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Moderna, Inc.

The quarter supports a mixed view: resilient COVID demand, pipeline progress, and cost controls provide support, but declining dose volumes, weak initial RSV sales, and regulatory and manufacturing execution risks limit confidence in near-term growth.

EPS surprise+101.6%
Market move-3.0%
MRNA FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Moderna, Inc.

The supplied analysis supports a mixed thesis: Moderna is expanding its respiratory and broader pipeline and reducing operating costs, but weaker near-term COVID and RSV demand, competition, and a lower sales outlook constrain the commercial case.

EPS surprise+0.6%
Market move-21.0%

Get the MRNA recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.