Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. · MPWR · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

MPWR tops $1 billion in revenue as data-center demand accelerates

The quarter strengthens the case that accelerating enterprise-data and AI-related demand can support MPWR's growth, while the investment case increasingly depends on executing capacity expansion and converting newer automotive, GaN, memory, converter, and robotics products into revenue.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $58.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $8.19 Consensus $7.79
EPS surprise +5.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.20B Consensus $1.16B
Revenue surprise +3.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.1% Event window
SPY move -1.8% Same window
Abnormal move +2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
MPWRSPY benchmark

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What changed

MPWR moved from a record $981 million of Q2 revenue to $1.2 billion in Q3, raised its enterprise-data growth floor from 130% to 150% year over year, and shifted its capacity outlook toward $8 billion by late 2027 and $10 billion thereafter. The quarter also added first 48-volt automotive orders, 800-volt GaN sampling, a large data-converter win, and more than $450 million of stock repurchases.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was raised, including a higher enterprise-data growth floor of 150% year over year and capacity targets of $8 billion by late 2027 and $10 billion thereafter.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue reached $1.2 billion, the company's first quarter above $1 billion, supported by enterprise data and AI workload demand.
  • Management raised the enterprise-data growth floor to 150% year over year and described capacity expansion toward $8 billion by late 2027.
  • New growth initiatives include 48-volt automotive solutions, 800-volt GaN data-center modules, high-speed memory, data converters, and robotics.
  • The company repurchased more than $450 million of stock in Q3 while targeting modest quarterly gross- and operating-margin expansion.

Management priorities

  • Expand capacity toward $8 billion by late 2027 and eventually $10 billion.
  • Scale 48-volt automotive power solutions and zonal architectures.
  • Develop 800-volt GaN data-center and industrial modules for planned 2027-2028 commercialization.
  • Increase presence in high-speed memory, DDR5, data converters, robotics, and motor-control products.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation and continue stock repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MPWR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $452M Q4 '23 actual $454M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $448M Q1 '24 actual $458M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $491M Q2 '24 actual $507M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $601M Q3 '24 actual $620M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $652M Q2 '25 actual $665M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $722M Q3 '25 actual $737M, beat Q4 '25 estimate $742M Q4 '25 actual $751M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $782M Q1 '26 actual $804M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $903M Q2 '26 actual $981M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2291.7%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,211.63Current
$475Low
$1,298Average
$2,100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 23, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 20, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 19, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,211.63. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerRick Schafer$1,500$1,167.93 +23.8%Oct 23, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,550$1,253.66 +27.9%Oct 20, 2026
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,013$1,300.14 +66.1%Aug 20, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,100$1,316.18 +73.3%Jul 31, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$2,000$1,316.18 +65.1%Jul 31, 2026
See 39 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-30T14:13:45.799270+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-30T01:23:13.979536+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-30T22:50:43.067913+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-30T22:50:43.065187+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.