Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. · MPWR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

MPS pairs strong demand with higher capacity and product ambitions

MPS's latest call supports a constructive growth case: demand across data-center, non-enterprise data, and automotive markets remained strong, while raised guidance, backlog, and capacity expansion support the near-term outlook. The thesis still depends on converting new 800V, 48V, optical, and high-density power products into volume without losing margin discipline.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $66.38B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.79 Consensus $4.74
EPS surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $751.2M Consensus $742.4M
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +6.4% Event window
SPY move +1.9% Same window
Abnormal move +4.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -13.6% Up to 20 sessions
MPWRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The company moved from prior-quarter plans for new 48V, 800V, robotics, and test-equipment initiatives to a broader execution update: enterprise-data growth guidance now has a 50% floor, automotive growth was driven by 48V and zonal architectures, an 800V solution was sampled, and capacity exceeded $4 billion.

Guidance delta

Management raised enterprise-data growth guidance, with a floor of 50% growth.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 revenue was $751.2 million, and full-year revenue reached $2.8 billion, up 26.4% year over year.
  • Enterprise and non-enterprise data demand, plus automotive electrification, were central growth drivers.
  • Management highlighted more than $4 billion of geographically balanced capacity and a 48V/800V product roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Scale the 800V data-center solution and 48V automotive products.
  • Expand optical modules, co-packaged optics, and high-density power modules.
  • Increase manufacturing capacity while maintaining shareholder returns.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MPWR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.07 Q2 '24 actual $3.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.97 Q3 '24 actual $4.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.12 Q2 '25 actual $4.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.64 Q3 '25 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.74 Q4 '25 actual $4.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.90 Q1 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.87 Q2 '26 actual $6.50, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.69 Q4 '26 estimate $6.69 Q1 '27 estimate $7.98
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2291.7%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,351.2Current
$475Low
$1,275.5Average
$2,100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,351.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,013$1,300.14 +49.0%Aug 20, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,100$1,316.18 +55.4%Jul 31, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$2,000$1,316.18 +48.0%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,312 +25.8%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,805$1,560 +33.6%May 1, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T04:40:59.344517+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T04:40:59.341597+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.