Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. · MPWR · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

MPS Raises Guidance as ADAS and Robotics Opportunities Expand

The quarter supports a constructive operating thesis: diversified demand, ADAS wins, and emerging robotics BMS opportunities were accompanied by a guidance increase. The evidence remains balanced by limited visibility and the time required for newer solution businesses to ramp.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $72.71B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $4.73 Consensus $4.64
EPS surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $737.2M Consensus $722.4M
Revenue surprise +2.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.6% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -7.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.6% Up to 20 sessions
MPWRSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, MPS reported record Q3 revenue, raised guidance by about 1%, and disclosed a first full BMS robotics design win with revenue expected to ramp in 2026. Management also emphasized the shift from a chip-only supplier toward silicon-based solutions and continued development of 48-volt and 800-volt products.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance by about 1% for the remainder of fiscal 2025.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue confirmed strength across diversified markets.
  • Automotive ADAS and a first full BMS robotics design win were highlighted as growth drivers.
  • Management expects margins to remain in the mid-55% range, with modest improvement as solution revenue scales.
  • 48-volt and 800-volt platforms remain central to the longer-term product roadmap.

Management priorities

  • Scale BMS robotics solution wins beginning in 2026.
  • Expand 48-volt and 800-volt products for automotive and data-center applications.
  • Invest in automated test equipment to improve yield and gross margins.
  • Continue diversifying end markets to mitigate geopolitical risk.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MPWR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.66 Q1 '24 actual $2.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.07 Q2 '24 actual $3.17, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.97 Q3 '24 actual $4.06, beat Q2 '25 estimate $4.12 Q2 '25 actual $4.21, beat Q3 '25 estimate $4.64 Q3 '25 actual $4.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $4.74 Q4 '25 actual $4.79, beat Q1 '26 estimate $4.90 Q1 '26 actual $5.10, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.87 Q2 '26 actual $6.50, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.71 Q4 '26 estimate $6.69 Q1 '27 estimate $6.72
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy24 ratings
Bullish2291.7%
Neutral28.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$1,479.89Current
$475Low
$1,275.5Average
$2,100High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 19 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $1,479.89. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Arete ResearchAnalyst unavailable$2,013$1,300.14 +36.0%Aug 20, 2026
KeyBancJohn Vinh$2,100$1,316.18 +41.9%Jul 31, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$2,000$1,316.18 +35.1%Jul 31, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$1,700$1,312 +14.9%Jul 20, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$1,805$1,560 +22.0%May 1, 2026
See 37 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. specializes in the creation, promotion, and sale of advanced semiconductor components for power management. Their innovative solutions cater to a broad spectrum of industries, including information technology, data storage, automotive, industrial applications, telecommunications, and consumer electronics. A core offering consists of direct current (DC) to DC integrated circuits (ICs), which are vital for regulating and transforming electrical voltages in diverse systems such as portable gadgets, wireless local area network access points, personal computers, displays, car entertainment systems, and medical devices.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T02:50:44.054363+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T02:50:44.051540+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.