Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. · MGRB · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

AMG lifts Q3 outlook as alternatives expand, despite Q2 consensus miss

The supplied Q2 analysis supports a growth case tied to alternative-asset inflows, new partnerships, and a larger alternatives contribution to EBITDA. However, reported EPS and revenue were below supplied consensus, and continued inflows, affiliate performance, and product capacity remain important tests.

Why did MGRB fall 0.3% after missing EPS estimates in FY2025 Q2?

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Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $10.38B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.61 Consensus $5.29
EPS surprise -50.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $493.2M Consensus $506.5M
Revenue surprise -2.6% Reported versus consensus
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.4% Up to 20 sessions
MGRBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied Q1 analysis, which cited $14 billion of alternative-strategy net inflows, the Q2 analysis reports $8 billion of net client cash flows and $55 billion of added alternative AUM. The Q2 analysis also says management raised guidance; the supplied scorecard shows EPS and revenue below consensus.

Guidance delta

Management raised guidance. The supplied Q2 analysis gives Q3 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $230–$240 million and EPS guidance of $5.62–$5.87.

Key takeaways

  • Alternatives represented more than 55% of EBITDA, with management targeting approximately 66% in the near term, according to the supplied analysis.
  • The quarter included $8 billion of net client cash flows and $55 billion of added alternative AUM, as reported in the supplied analysis.
  • The supplied scorecard reports EPS of 2.61 versus an estimate of 5.29 and revenue of 493200000 versus an estimate of 506463667. Both were below estimates.

Management priorities

  • Expand tax-aware liquid-alternative products, including the Fusion series.
  • Finalize partnerships with Qualitas Energy and Montefiere before year-end, according to the supplied analysis.
  • Launch additional active ETFs and the GW&K Muni Income ETF, while maintaining targeted share repurchases and flexibility for growth capital.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
MGRB REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 6 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $503M, None Q2 '25 estimate $506M Q2 '25 actual $493M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $545M Q3 '25 actual $528M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $579M Q4 '25 actual $557M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $591M Q2 '26 actual $641M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $655M Q3 '26 actual $595M, miss Q4 '26 estimate $615M Q1 '27 estimate $614M Q2 '27 estimate $636M Q3 '27 estimate $654M

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. specializes in providing investment management solutions. The company offers a comprehensive suite of strategies that encompass diverse asset classes focused on generating returns, in addition to various investment product types. William J. Nutt founded the firm in December 1993, and its corporate headquarters are located in West Palm Beach, Florida.

Historical context

All MGRB earnings

Financial Services peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-11T12:40:52.893902+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-11. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.