The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Coca-Cola Q2: Volume Growth and Margin Expansion Continue

The supplied evidence supports a constructive but qualified view: Coca-Cola combined resilient demand, margin expansion, and maintained raised guidance in Q2. The case depends on sustaining volume and price/mix execution while managing commodity, consumer, geopolitical, tax, and divestiture risks.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $381.25B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.97 Consensus $0.92
EPS surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $13.37B Consensus $13.17B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +5.0% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +4.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.8% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, the current analysis shows stronger reported volume growth, margin expansion, and continued raised guidance. The FIFA World Cup activation and fairlife production progress were prominent current-quarter developments, while the IRS tax dispute remains unresolved.

Guidance delta

Management maintained raised 2026 guidance of approximately 5% organic revenue growth and 9-10% EPS growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported 5% year-over-year volume growth and 6% organic revenue growth.
  • Comparable gross margin rose approximately 120 basis points and operating margin rose approximately 90 basis points.
  • Management attributed momentum to FIFA World Cup activation and revenue growth management.
  • Fairlife production resumed at all four U.S. facilities, with Webster capacity ramping as planned.
  • The ongoing IRS tax dispute and commodity volatility remain material risks.

Management priorities

  • Continue the consumer-centric 4Is framework and digital integration.
  • Scale Coca-Cola Zero Zero into additional markets.
  • Develop fairlife availability, flavors, and packaging.
  • Invest in AI, digital capabilities, and selective advertising.
  • Expand strategic partnerships and emerging-market initiatives.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.90 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$88.09Current
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMar 30, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainOct 31, 2025
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 21, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 9, 2025
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2024
CFRA Hold BuyDowngradeSep 5, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2023
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJun 7, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 3, 2022
DZ Bank Hold BuyDowngradeApr 28, 2022
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 26, 2022
DA Davidson Perform Peer PerformMaintainApr 13, 2021
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 20, 2021
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 1, 2020
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 21, 2019
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2017
Daiwa Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 13, 2017
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeSep 29, 2016
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeSep 29, 2016
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 15, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 26, 2016
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 26, 2016
Tigress Financial Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 4, 2015
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainDec 15, 2014
Societe Generale Sell HoldDowngradeOct 22, 2014
Brasil Plural Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 25, 2014
Janney Capital Buy BuyMaintainDec 12, 2013
Standpoint Research Sell SellMaintainDec 2, 2013
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainSep 19, 2013
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeSep 3, 2013
Davenport Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 12, 2013
Credit Agricole Outperform UnderperformUpgradeMar 14, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $88.09. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +7.8%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +5.6%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +9.0%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +18.1%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +7.8%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$104$88.27 +18.1%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +7.8%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinCristian Rios$93$88.27 +5.6%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$100$88.27 +13.5%Jul 29, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$86$88.27 -2.4%Jul 28, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$100$88.29 +13.5%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$91$82.12 +3.3%Jul 21, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$98$84.57 +11.2%Jul 16, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$83$82.46 -5.8%Jul 9, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$88$81.42 -0.1%Jun 26, 2026
BernsteinCristian Rios$84$82.53 -4.6%Jun 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$89$81.34 +1.0%Jun 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$89$81.55 +1.0%May 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$85$78.87 -3.5%Apr 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$77.58 -0.1%Mar 11, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$83$79.56 -5.8%Feb 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$85$78.32 -3.5%Feb 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$78.17 -1.2%Feb 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$87$77.33 -1.2%Feb 11, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$87$78.27 -1.2%Feb 11, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$85$77.66 -3.5%Feb 11, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$78$78.52 -11.5%Feb 6, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$82$76.96 -6.9%Feb 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$83$73.52 -5.8%Jan 29, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$77$70.4 -12.6%Oct 23, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$81$71.22 -8.0%Oct 22, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$82$71.22 -6.9%Oct 21, 2025
RBC CapitalNik Modi$76$70.44 -13.7%Jul 21, 2025
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$77$68.01 -12.6%Oct 24, 2024
CFRAGarrett Nelson$70$67.6 -20.5%Oct 23, 2024
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$78$70.84 -11.5%Aug 27, 2024
Truist FinancialBill Chappell$70$65.81 -20.5%Jul 25, 2024
Argus ResearchChristopher Graja$72$62.94 -18.3%May 22, 2024
D.A. DavidsonLinda Bolton Weiser$81$28.7 -8.0%Nov 21, 2023
BernsteinCallum Elliott$66$63.98 -25.1%Apr 25, 2023
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$70$60.36 -20.5%Mar 7, 2023
Wells FargoChris Carey$70$60.6 -20.5%Feb 14, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$62$63.68 -29.6%Dec 6, 2022
WedbushGerald Pascarelli$63$54.39 -28.5%Oct 10, 2022
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$76$61.15 -13.7%Sep 6, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$65$62.51 -26.2%Jul 27, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$72$63.21 -18.3%Jul 27, 2022
Truist FinancialBill Chappell$75$65.56 -14.9%Apr 27, 2022
Wells FargoChris Carey$74$66.15 -16.0%Apr 27, 2022
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$71$65.46 -19.4%Apr 26, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$64$65.81 -27.3%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$68$65.81 -22.8%Apr 26, 2022
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$72$65.57 -18.3%Apr 26, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$68$65.94 -22.8%Apr 26, 2022
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$68$65.8 -22.8%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$68$65.05 -22.8%Apr 26, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$70$65.94 -20.5%Apr 25, 2022
GuggenheimLaurent Grandet$71$65.94 -19.4%Apr 25, 2022
CFRAGarrett Nelson$72$65.94 -18.3%Apr 25, 2022
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$68$65.94 -22.8%Apr 25, 2022
J.P. MorganAndrea Faria Teixeira$73$65.25 -17.1%Apr 22, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$66$66.21 -25.1%Apr 21, 2022
Evercore ISIRobert Ottenstein$70$62.54 -20.5%Feb 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$76$60.29 -13.7%Feb 13, 2022
UBSSean King$68$59.83 -22.8%Feb 11, 2022
Goldman SachsBonnie Herzog$60$60.91 -31.9%Feb 10, 2022
GuggenheimLaurent Grandet$67$60.91 -23.9%Feb 10, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$66$59.15 -25.1%Jan 26, 2022
CFRAGarrett Nelson$68$59.83 -22.8%Jan 4, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$64$55.19 -27.3%Jul 22, 2021
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$60$55.27 -31.9%Jul 21, 2021
Argus ResearchChris Graja$63$53.71 -28.5%Jun 17, 2021
DZ BANK AGAxel Herlinghaus$60$52.98 -31.9%Apr 21, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Historical context

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Consumer Defensive peers this season

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-28T16:05:21.343340+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-02T01:23:14.593608+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T01:20:52.252825+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T01:20:52.250117+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.