The Coca-Cola Company · KO · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Coca-Cola Q1 2026: Double-Digit EPS Growth and Raised Guidance Top Estimates

Coca-Cola delivered a strong start to fiscal 2026, with Q1 organic revenue up 10% and comparable EPS rising 18% year-over-year, beating consensus on both lines. Volume grew 3% across all operating segments, demonstrating broad-based demand despite price-mix headwinds. Management raised full-year guidance, lifting the EPS growth range from 7-8% to 8-9%, reflecting confidence in portfolio innovation, digital initiatives, and bottler system investment. The market responded favorably, with shares moving up 4.3% on abnormally high volume. Key risks include commodity cost pressures, geopolitical tensions, and the pending Africa divestiture, but the overall trajectory signals durable brand strength and pricing power.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $361.71B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Coca-Cola Company, a beverage company, manufactures and sells various nonalcoholic beverages in the United States and internationally. The company provides Trademark Coca-Cola, sparkling soft drinks and flavors; water, sports, coffee, and tea; juice, value-added dairy, and plant-based beverages; and emerging beverages. It also offers beverage concentrates and syrups, as well as fountain syrups to fountain retailers comprising restaurants and convenience stores.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +5.9% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.47B Consensus $12.24B
Revenue surprise +1.9% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
KO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.72, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.83 Q2 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.58, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.81 Q1 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.92 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $0.60 Q1 '27 estimate $0.90 Q2 '27 estimate $1.03
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish2961.7%
Neutral1531.9%
Bearish36.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$87.83Previous close
$60Low
$79.79Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 11, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 30, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 29, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 29, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainJul 16, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 14, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainMar 30, 2026
Freedom Broker Hold HoldMaintainOct 31, 2025
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 21, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainJun 9, 2025
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2024
CFRA Hold BuyDowngradeSep 5, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2023
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainJun 7, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 3, 2022
DZ Bank Hold BuyDowngradeApr 28, 2022
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainApr 26, 2022
Cowen & Co. Market Perform Market PerformMaintainApr 26, 2022
DA Davidson Perform Peer PerformMaintainApr 13, 2021
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 20, 2021
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 1, 2020
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 21, 2019
Atlantic Equities Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 29, 2019
Argus Hold BuyDowngradeMay 5, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2017
Daiwa Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 13, 2017
Stifel Nicolaus Hold BuyDowngradeSep 29, 2016
Stifel Hold BuyDowngradeSep 29, 2016
Susquehanna Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 15, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 26, 2016
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeFeb 26, 2016
Tigress Financial Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 4, 2015
Nomura Buy BuyMaintainDec 15, 2014
Societe Generale Sell HoldDowngradeOct 22, 2014
Brasil Plural Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 25, 2014
Janney Capital Buy BuyMaintainDec 12, 2013
Standpoint Research Sell SellMaintainDec 2, 2013
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainSep 19, 2013
CLSA Underperform OutperformDowngradeSep 3, 2013
Davenport Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 12, 2013
Credit Agricole Outperform UnderperformUpgradeMar 14, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $87.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Seaport GlobalAnalyst unavailable$95$87.76 +8.2%Aug 14, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$93$89.08 +5.9%Jul 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$90.39 +9.3%Jul 29, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$104$90.12 +18.4%Jul 29, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +8.2%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$104$88.27 +18.4%Jul 29, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$95$88.27 +8.2%Jul 29, 2026
BernsteinCristian Rios$93$88.27 +5.9%Jul 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$100$88.27 +13.9%Jul 29, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$86$88.27 -2.1%Jul 28, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$100$88.29 +13.9%Jul 28, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$91$82.12 +3.6%Jul 21, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$98$84.57 +11.6%Jul 16, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$83$82.46 -5.5%Jul 9, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$88$81.42 +0.2%Jun 26, 2026
BernsteinCristian Rios$84$82.53 -4.4%Jun 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$89$81.34 +1.3%Jun 10, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$89$81.55 +1.3%May 21, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$85$78.87 -3.2%Apr 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$88$77.58 +0.2%Mar 11, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$83$79.56 -5.5%Feb 12, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$85$78.32 -3.2%Feb 11, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$87$78.17 -0.9%Feb 11, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$87$77.33 -0.9%Feb 11, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$87$78.27 -0.9%Feb 11, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$85$77.66 -3.2%Feb 11, 2026
RBC CapitalNik Modi$78$78.52 -11.2%Feb 6, 2026
UBSPeter Grom$82$76.96 -6.6%Feb 3, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$83$73.52 -5.5%Jan 29, 2026
BarclaysLauren Lieberman$77$70.4 -12.3%Oct 23, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$81$71.22 -7.8%Oct 22, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$82$71.22 -6.6%Oct 21, 2025
RBC CapitalNik Modi$76$70.44 -13.5%Jul 21, 2025
JefferiesKaumil Gajrawala$77$68.01 -12.3%Oct 24, 2024
CFRAGarrett Nelson$70$67.6 -20.3%Oct 23, 2024
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$78$70.84 -11.2%Aug 27, 2024
Truist FinancialBill Chappell$70$65.81 -20.3%Jul 25, 2024
Argus ResearchChristopher Graja$72$62.94 -18.0%May 22, 2024
D.A. DavidsonLinda Bolton Weiser$81$28.7 -7.8%Nov 21, 2023
BernsteinCallum Elliott$66$63.98 -24.9%Apr 25, 2023
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$70$60.36 -20.3%Mar 7, 2023
Wells FargoChris Carey$70$60.6 -20.3%Feb 14, 2023
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$62$63.68 -29.4%Dec 6, 2022
WedbushGerald Pascarelli$63$54.39 -28.3%Oct 10, 2022
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$76$61.15 -13.5%Sep 6, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$65$62.51 -26.0%Jul 27, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$72$63.21 -18.0%Jul 27, 2022
Truist FinancialBill Chappell$75$65.56 -14.6%Apr 27, 2022
Wells FargoChris Carey$74$66.15 -15.7%Apr 27, 2022
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$71$65.46 -19.2%Apr 26, 2022
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$64$65.81 -27.1%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$68$65.81 -22.6%Apr 26, 2022
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$72$65.57 -18.0%Apr 26, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$68$65.94 -22.6%Apr 26, 2022
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$68$65.8 -22.6%Apr 26, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$68$65.05 -22.6%Apr 26, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$70$65.94 -20.3%Apr 25, 2022
GuggenheimLaurent Grandet$71$65.94 -19.2%Apr 25, 2022
CFRAGarrett Nelson$72$65.94 -18.0%Apr 25, 2022
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$68$65.94 -22.6%Apr 25, 2022
J.P. MorganAndrea Faria Teixeira$73$65.25 -16.9%Apr 22, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$66$66.21 -24.9%Apr 21, 2022
Evercore ISIRobert Ottenstein$70$62.54 -20.3%Feb 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyDara Mohsenian$76$60.29 -13.5%Feb 13, 2022
UBSSean King$68$59.83 -22.6%Feb 11, 2022
Goldman SachsBonnie Herzog$60$60.91 -31.7%Feb 10, 2022
GuggenheimLaurent Grandet$67$60.91 -23.7%Feb 10, 2022
Credit SuisseKaumil Gajrawala$66$59.15 -24.9%Jan 26, 2022
CFRAGarrett Nelson$68$59.83 -22.6%Jan 4, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesBryan Spillane$64$55.19 -27.1%Jul 22, 2021
Cowen & Co.Vivien Azer$60$55.27 -31.7%Jul 21, 2021
Argus ResearchChris Graja$63$53.71 -28.3%Jun 17, 2021
DZ BANK AGAxel Herlinghaus$60$52.98 -31.7%Apr 21, 2021
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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.9% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +4.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.2% Up to 20 sessions
KOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared to the prior quarter's maintained guidance, Coca-Cola raised its 2026 outlook from 7-8% to 8-9% EPS growth while keeping the 4-5% organic revenue growth range. Q1 saw the relaunch of Coca-Cola Zero-Zero (0 sugar, 0 caffeine, 0 calories) with a new visual identity, and the company confirmed the pending sale of Coca-Cola Beverages Africa subject to regulatory approval. Operating margin expanded despite gross margin pressure from an inventory timing issue and tea/coffee commodity costs. The company added over 600,000 new retail outlets and deployed 340,000 cold-drink equipment units, broadening distribution reach.

Guidance delta

Prior quarter (Q4 2025): 2026 guidance maintained at 4-5% organic revenue growth and 7-8% EPS growth. Current quarter (Q1 2026): Guidance raised to 4-5% organic revenue growth and 8-9% EPS growth. The revenue range was held; the EPS growth range was lifted by approximately 100 basis points at both ends, reflecting stronger-than-expected first-quarter execution and confidence in the full-year outlook.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 2026 organic revenue grew 10% YoY with 3% volume growth across all segments, beating consensus revenue of $12.24B with $12.47B reported.
  • Comparable EPS of $0.86 exceeded the $0.81 estimate by 5.9%, driven by 18% YoY EPS growth.
  • Full-year guidance was raised, with EPS growth moving from 7-8% to 8-9%; revenue growth held at 4-5%.
  • Gross margin was pressured by an inventory timing issue and tea/coffee commodity costs, but operating margin still expanded.
  • Coca-Cola Zero-Zero relaunched with a new identity; 600,000+ new outlets and 340,000 cold-drink units deployed.

Management priorities

  • Scale the Coca-Cola Zero-Zero rollout globally as a flagship zero-sugar innovation
  • Continue FIFA World Cup-related marketing and digital activation campaigns
  • Accelerate refillable packaging and sustainability initiatives
  • Increase cold-drink equipment deployments and expand outlet coverage
  • Complete the sale of Coca-Cola Beverages Africa in H2 2026

Related earnings events

Consumer Defensive

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T09:03:06.634667+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T09:03:06.631994+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.