Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · KNX · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026
Knight-Swift sees tighter truckload market, raises Q2 EPS view
The quarter provides partial support for a recovery case: management reported tighter truckload conditions, improving rate activity and LTL network benefits, and raised near-term EPS guidance. The evidence is not yet conclusive because adjusted operating performance remains sensitive to weather, fuel, claims, driver availability and the pace of margin normalization.
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What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, management shifted from maintained guidance and planned efficiency initiatives to raised Q2 EPS guidance, citing a tighter truckload market, stronger bid activity and improving LTL shipment characteristics. The company also emphasized continued network expansion, contract review, recruiting investment and stricter carrier qualification.
Guidance delta
Management raised Q2 EPS guidance to $0.45-$0.49, pointing to an expected sequential earnings improvement after a weather-impacted quarter.
Key takeaways
- Management described a tightening one-way truckload market and mid-single-digit to low-double-digit rate increases.
- LTL is seeing higher weight per shipment and longer hauls as the network becomes more national.
- Logistics remains pressured by carrier qualification constraints but management expects margin recovery as spot rates improve.
- The central test is whether rate gains and network changes translate into sustained margin normalization.
Management priorities
- Expand the national network and add doors at pinch-point locations.
- Review stale contracts and target the bottom 20% of performance.
- Invest in driver academies, recruiting and AI-enabled talent sourcing.
- Use technology to improve logistics efficiency.
- Maintain stricter carrier qualification standards.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 7, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 6, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 23, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 2, 2025 |
| TD Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 11, 2024 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | May 17, 2023 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jan 27, 2023 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Sep 15, 2021 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 20, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 25, 2019 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 12, 2018 |
| Buckingham | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 12, 2018 |
| Macquarie | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 28, 2016 |
| Avondale Partners | Market Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Jun 23, 2016 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Apr 21, 2016 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 4, 2015 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 7, 2014 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 7, 2014 |
| BB&T Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 3, 2013 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | May 24, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $63.2. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $64.09 | +29.7% | Oct 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $64.92 | +42.4% | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bruce Chan | $90 | $63.62 | +42.4% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $65.24 | +28.2% | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $66.18 | +34.5% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $68.79 | +44.0% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $66.73 | +42.4% | Sep 2, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $72.86 | +34.5% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $76 | +39.2% | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $75.19 | +34.5% | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $100 | $76.12 | +58.2% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $91 | $77.37 | +44.0% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $74.52 | +42.4% | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $75.4 | +36.1% | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Christian Wetherbee | $86 | $78.57 | +36.1% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $77.93 | +42.4% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $94 | $76.32 | +48.7% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $72.93 | +39.2% | May 27, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $66 | $63.87 | +4.4% | May 11, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $66.47 | +10.8% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $63.97 | +10.8% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Raymond James | David Hicks | $70 | $64.4 | +10.8% | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $55.51 | +2.8% | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $64 | $52.01 | +1.3% | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $58.04 | -0.3% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $57.02 | -3.5% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $57.93 | -5.1% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $57.93 | -14.6% | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $65 | $57.17 | +2.8% | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $57.02 | -0.3% | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $61 | $56.75 | -3.5% | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Bascome Majors | $58 | $56.22 | -8.2% | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $60 | $54.05 | -5.1% | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $62 | $53.49 | -1.9% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $53.19 | -6.6% | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $70 | $51.3 | +10.8% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $47.39 | -17.7% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $45.57 | -33.5% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $59 | $42.73 | -6.6% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $41.41 | +6.0% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $39.9 | -28.8% | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $50 | $38.94 | -20.9% | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Richa Harnain | $53 | $38.94 | -16.1% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $42 | $40.15 | -33.5% | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $52 | $44.3 | -17.7% | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bruce Chan | $42 | $38.88 | -33.5% | Apr 25, 2025 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $46 | $39.03 | -27.2% | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bruce Chan | $49 | $40.54 | -22.5% | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Susquehanna | Bascome Majors | $54 | $44.37 | -14.6% | Mar 26, 2025 |
| National Bank | Analyst unavailable | $63 | $47.88 | -0.3% | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Ariel Rosa | $55 | $51.72 | -13.0% | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Jon Chappell | $53 | $48.89 | -16.1% | Jun 25, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Christian Wetherbee | $56 | $48.14 | -11.4% | Jun 7, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bruce Chan | $47 | $47.14 | -25.6% | Apr 26, 2024 |
| Robert W. Baird | Benjamin Hartford | $60 | $48.51 | -5.1% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | Jon Chappell | $55 | $48.51 | -13.0% | Apr 25, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bruce Chan | $53 | $48.53 | -16.1% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Susquehanna | Bascome Majors | $50 | $48.53 | -20.9% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Rick Paterson | $53 | $48.53 | -16.1% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Amit Mehrotra | $61 | $48.98 | -3.5% | Apr 17, 2024 |
| Barclays | Brandon Oglenski | $62 | $55.02 | -1.9% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $75 | $50.61 | +18.7% | Oct 20, 2023 |
| Susquehanna | Bascome Majors | $51 | $56.32 | -19.3% | Jul 21, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $69 | $54.54 | +9.2% | Nov 29, 2022 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $65 | $50.22 | +2.8% | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $50.22 | -13.0% | Jul 21, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $47.85 | -8.2% | Jul 15, 2022 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $58 | $47.7 | -8.2% | Jul 13, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Bert Subin | $67 | $49 | +6.0% | Jul 12, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Jonathan Chappell | $35 | $48.09 | -44.6% | Jul 12, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $47.83 | -16.1% | Apr 25, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $48.34 | -20.9% | Apr 20, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Felix Boeschen | $62 | $54.42 | -1.9% | Jan 27, 2022 |
| Evercore ISI | Jonathan Chappell | $63 | $54.42 | -0.3% | Jan 27, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Ravi Shanker | $85 | $54.42 | +34.5% | Jan 27, 2022 |
| Goldman Sachs | Jordan Alliger | $60 | $54.03 | -5.1% | Jan 26, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Allison Poliniak-Cusic | $69 | $61.26 | +9.2% | Dec 13, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Joseph DeNardi | $72 | $60.47 | +13.9% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| UBS | Thomas Wadewitz | $67 | $60.34 | +6.0% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Christian Wetherbee | $64 | $60.34 | +1.3% | Dec 7, 2021 |
| KeyBanc | Todd Fowler | $70 | $58.17 | +10.8% | Nov 23, 2021 |
| Stephens | Jack Atkins | $67 | $56.52 | +6.0% | Oct 21, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) stands as a prominent provider of transportation services, specializing in truckload freight solutions for clients throughout the United States, Mexico, and Canada. Its operational scope is segmented into four key areas: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload (LTL), and Intermodal. Under its Trucking segment, the company manages a diverse portfolio of services, including irregular route, dedicated, temperature-controlled (refrigerated), flatbed, expedited, dry van, drayage, and cross-border transportation for a wide variety of goods and materials. Beyond its core trucking operations, Knight-Swift provides logistics and intermodal solutions, which include freight brokerage, intermodal services, comprehensive freight management, and various non-trucking offerings.…
Historical context
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-22T03:20:41.318132+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-22T03:20:41.315287+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.