Ingersoll Rand Inc. · IR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Ingersoll Rand: Orders Strong, Guidance Maintained, Risks Remain

The current analysis is cautiously constructive: strong orders, cash generation, acquisitions, and pricing actions support the operating case, but margin execution and volume resilience remain decisive.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $29.78B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.73B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +0.7% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move -0.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +5.6% Up to 20 sessions
IRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis adds evidence of strong order momentum, record first-quarter free cash flow, a tariff-mitigation plan, and expanded repurchase authorization while retaining the prior guidance stance.

Guidance delta

Management maintained revenue guidance; the supplied analysis does not identify a new quantitative change.

Key takeaways

  • The current analysis points to 10% total order growth and a 1.1 book-to-bill.
  • Management retained revenue guidance while keeping a 4% volume contingency.
  • Tariff exposure is being addressed through staged pricing and surcharges.
  • Bolt-on acquisitions, aftermarket revenue, and regional manufacturing remain key levers.
  • Integration, tariffs, China volume, and macro uncertainty remain principal risks.

Management priorities

  • Execute additional bolt-on acquisitions.
  • Advance I2V initiatives to improve gross margins.
  • Use pricing and surcharges to address tariff costs.
  • Expand in-region manufacturing capacity.
  • Continue capital returns and aftermarket expansion.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.77 Q4 '23 actual $0.86, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.69 Q1 '24 actual $0.78, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.78 Q2 '24 actual $0.83, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.82 Q3 '24 actual $0.84, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.80 Q2 '25 actual $0.80, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.86 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.91 Q4 '25 actual $0.96, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.74 Q1 '26 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.83 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.88 Q4 '26 estimate $1.00 Q1 '27 estimate $0.80
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy15 ratings
Bullish853.3%
Neutral746.7%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$76.07Current
$50Low
$77.25Average
$110High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainJul 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 30, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $76.07. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$87$87 +14.4%Aug 10, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$84$82.24 +10.4%Jul 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyChristopher Snyder$80$71.7 +5.2%Jun 3, 2026
Evercore ISIDavid Raso$84$75.31 +10.4%May 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$103$77.46 +35.4%Apr 30, 2026
See 33 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ingersoll Rand Inc., established in 1859 and headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, delivers essential air, fluid, energy, medical, and specialized vehicle technologies to customers across the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. The company operates through two primary divisions: Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. The Industrial Technologies and Services division is responsible for the design, production, sales, and maintenance of various air and gas compression, vacuum, and blower solutions, alongside fluid handling and loading systems, power tools, and lifting apparatus. This segment also encompasses all related spare parts, consumables, air purification systems, controls, additional accessories, and support services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-17T00:02:52.217204+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-04T13:30:45.455826+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-04T13:30:45.452889+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.