FN2 Earnings Intelligence

International Paper (IP) earnings history

International Paper Company (IP) quarterly earnings scorecards, market reactions, transcript intelligence, and historical context.

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IP EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.40 Q2 '24 actual $0.55, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.26 Q3 '24 actual $0.44, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.39 Q2 '25 actual $0.20, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.47 Q3 '25 actual $-0.43, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.28 Q4 '25 actual $-0.08, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.15 Q1 '26 actual $0.15, match Q2 '26 estimate $-0.03 Q2 '26 actual $0.04, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.29 Q3 '26 actual $0.37, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.76 Q1 '27 estimate $0.55
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IP FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

International Paper Company

International Paper's Q3 showed operational improvement from pricing, productivity and cost-out actions, but the lower full-year EBITDA outlook and absence of 2027 guidance temper confidence in the durability of the earnings recovery.

EPS surprise+29.5%
Market move+3.3%
IP FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

International Paper Company

Q2 evidence supports an execution-led operating improvement case: box volumes outpaced the industry, mill performance improved and cost-out actions continued. The case is moderated by narrower EBITDA guidance, outage exposure and higher transportation and energy costs.

EPS surprise+233.7%
Market move+1.2%
IP FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

International Paper Company

International Paper reported Q1 FY2026 EPS of $0.15, edging the $0.147 estimate, while revenue of $5.97B narrowly missed the $6.02B consensus. Shares fell 10.4% on the report session before recovering roughly 10% in subsequent trading. Management lowered full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance from $3.5-$3.7B to $3.2-$3.5B, citing inflation, freight, and weather headwinds. Despite the cut, operational metrics were constructive: North American box volumes grew 2.5% YoY against an industry decline, cost-out actions have generated over $200M in run-rate savings, and the NORPAC acquisition plus accelerated capital spending are strengthening the asset base. The planned separation into North America and EMEA entities continues to progress, and a $1.1B divestiture of the Global Cellulose Fibers business reduced debt by $660M.

EPS surprise+2.3%
Market move-9.4%
IP FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

International Paper Company

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis based on cost-out execution, commercial gains, and regional focus, but the case depends on delivering the spin-off and managing transformation, reliability, demand, and cash-flow risks.

EPS surprise-128.6%
Market move-6.0%
IP FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

International Paper Company

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating thesis: cost reductions, commercial execution, and packaging investments may improve earnings, but soft demand and execution risk mean the case is not dependent on growth alone.

EPS surprise-191.8%
Market move-12.7%
IP FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

International Paper Company

International Paper's improvement case rests on transformation, commercial execution, pricing, and acquisition synergies, but the evidence remains balanced by soft demand and operational execution risks.

EPS surprise-48.5%
Market move-12.8%
IP FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

International Paper Company

The quarter provides mixed evidence for a growth thesis: DS Smith synergies, pricing and cost programs improved the trajectory, but soft demand and execution risks keep the outlook dependent on management delivering its planned commercial and productivity benefits.

EPS surprise—
Market move-4.1%
IP FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

International Paper Company

International Paper's earnings narrative supports a potential improvement case through productivity gains, integration, reliability, and new capacity, but the evidence remains execution-dependent. The supplied record does not include reported EPS or revenue actuals, so the operating thesis cannot be validated through a reported beat or miss here.

EPS surprise—
Market move-1.6%

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