HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026
HP raises full-year outlook as AI PCs drive Personal Systems growth
HP's latest call supports a constructive operating case: resilient Personal Systems demand, rising AI PC mix, and industrial-printing growth were paired with higher full-year EPS and free-cash-flow guidance. The counterweight is that memory, storage, commodity, channel-inventory, and tariff pressures could test margins and the durability of cash-flow growth.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Compared with the prior quarter, HP reported stronger Q3 scale and raised both full-year EPS and free-cash-flow guidance. AI PC mix reached 46% of shipments, while management added a three-year RRD agreement and described broader OpenAI Frontier integration. Print remained mixed, with revenue down 2% despite tank-printer share gains and double-digit industrial-printing growth.
Guidance delta
Management raised full-year EPS guidance to $3.19-$3.29 and free-cash-flow guidance to $3.0-$3.2 billion.
Key takeaways
- Q3 revenue reached a record $15.7 billion, up 13% year over year, led by Personal Systems.
- AI PCs represented 46% of shipments, with management targeting 50% by year-end.
- Print revenue declined 2%, while tank-printer share grew 42% and industrial printing posted double-digit growth.
- Supply-chain mitigation and pricing actions are intended to offset memory, storage, and commodity cost pressure.
- HP announced a three-year, $100 million strategic agreement with RRD and expanded OpenAI Frontier integration.
Management priorities
- Scale the AI PC portfolio, including OmniBook Ultra 6, OmniDesk Mini, and ZGX Fury.
- Expand Precise Print and AI-enabled laser products globally.
- Deepen OpenAI integration across HP Store, support, and development tools.
- Continue premium-PC and AI-PC mix expansion to raise average selling prices.
- Invest in WXP platform enhancements and industrial-printing automation.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| HSBC | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Nov 7, 2023 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 30, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Nov 23, 2022 |
| Cowen & Co. | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Aug 31, 2022 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 9, 2021 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 28, 2020 |
| Longbow Research | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 1, 2020 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 31, 2020 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Oct 4, 2019 |
| Citi | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 23, 2019 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | Feb 28, 2019 |
| Standpoint Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 26, 2018 |
| Maxim Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 4, 2018 |
| Argus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 5, 2018 |
| Mizuho | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Feb 2, 2018 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Jul 20, 2017 |
| Susquehanna | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jul 13, 2017 |
| Guggenheim | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jan 4, 2017 |
| Brean Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 6, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 28, 2015 |
| FBR Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Aug 21, 2015 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 21, 2015 |
| Cross Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 14, 2015 |
| Tigress Financial | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 6, 2015 |
| Pacific Crest | Sector Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 13, 2015 |
| FBN Securities | Outperform | Sector Perform | Upgrade | Aug 21, 2014 |
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 18, 2014 |
| Monness Crespi Hardt | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 18, 2014 |
| S&P Capital IQ | Strong Buy | Buy | Upgrade | Jul 1, 2014 |
| Argus Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 24, 2014 |
| Evercore Partners | Equal Weight | Underweight | Upgrade | Nov 27, 2013 |
| Needham | Hold | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 10, 2013 |
| Topeka Capital | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Dec 18, 2012 |
| Topeka | Sell | Hold | Downgrade | Dec 18, 2012 |
| Raymond James | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 20, 2012 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 5, 2012 |
| ISI Group | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 3, 2012 |
| Bank oferica | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 24, 2012 |
| Oxen Group | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 14, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $34.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $32.73 | -4.1% | Sep 10, 2026 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $23 | $29.63 | -33.1% | Aug 28, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Mark Newman | $32 | $30.52 | -7.0% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $28 | $30.52 | -18.6% | Aug 27, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $32 | $29.15 | -7.0% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $29.34 | -44.8% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $19 | $25.49 | -44.8% | May 28, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $25.49 | -41.9% | May 28, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $25.49 | -44.8% | May 28, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $21.07 | -50.6% | May 21, 2026 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $20 | $18.38 | -41.9% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $18.45 | -36.0% | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $20.37 | -47.7% | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $20.61 | -47.7% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21.18 | -39.0% | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $24.32 | -41.9% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $24.32 | -30.2% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $26 | $24.32 | -24.4% | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $21 | $22.61 | -39.0% | Nov 21, 2025 |
| HSBC | Stephen Bersey | $30 | $27.35 | -12.8% | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $29 | $28.37 | -15.7% | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $24.95 | -18.6% | May 29, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $30.87 | +1.7% | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $36 | $30.87 | +4.7% | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Toni Sacconaghi | $34 | $32.74 | -1.2% | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Asiya Merchant | $37 | $36 | +7.6% | Oct 9, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Wamsi Mohan | $37 | $36.85 | +7.6% | Sep 27, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $35 | $34.85 | +1.7% | Sep 5, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $37 | $32.8 | +7.6% | May 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Michael Ng | $33 | $32.8 | -4.1% | May 30, 2024 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $30 | $31.82 | -12.8% | May 21, 2024 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $24 | $30.22 | -30.2% | Apr 1, 2024 |
| HSBC | Stephen Bersey | $33 | $28.58 | -4.1% | Feb 14, 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $31 | $28.68 | -9.9% | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $24 | $29.91 | -30.2% | Nov 23, 2022 |
| Citigroup | Jim Suva | $31 | $29.36 | -9.9% | Nov 18, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Toni Sacconaghi Sacconaghi | $30 | $25.35 | -12.8% | Sep 24, 2022 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $27 | $29.33 | -21.5% | Aug 31, 2022 |
| Wells Fargo | Aaron Rakers | $30 | $35.23 | -12.8% | Aug 19, 2022 |
| Barclays | Tim Long | $32 | $40.37 | -7.0% | Jun 1, 2022 |
| UBS | David Vogt | $40 | $38.19 | +16.3% | Apr 11, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Erik Woodring | $34 | $36.64 | -1.2% | Apr 4, 2022 |
| Bernstein | Toni Sacconaghi | $40 | $38.42 | +16.3% | Jan 17, 2022 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Ananda Baruah | $50 | $30.82 | +45.3% | Nov 1, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Jim Suva | $40 | $28.46 | +16.3% | May 28, 2021 |
| Cowen & Co. | Krish Sankar | $27 | $31.46 | -21.5% | May 24, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationHP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…
Historical context
All HPQ earningsTechnology peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +0.8% | +1.4% | Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens |
| ORCL Oracle Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +10.3% | -1.7% | Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth |
| SAIL SailPoint, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +13.8% | -1.2% | SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption |
| CIEN Ciena Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +22.0% | -10.4% | Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog |
| DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +6.4% | +3.7% | DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook |
| IOT Samsara Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +25.0% | +3.7% | Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
- KRFY2026 Q2 · September 11, 2026+2.8% EPS+2.7% move
- ADBEFY2026 Q3 · September 10, 2026+0.8% EPS+1.4% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- CASYFY2027 Q1 · September 8, 2026+8.7% EPS-14.2% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T14:22:00.669916+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T05:30:49.105757+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T05:30:49.103023+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.