HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q2 2026

HP Q2 FY2026: Revenue Up 9%, EPS Beat, Outlook Raised - Margin Pressures Loom

HP delivered a strong Q2 FY2026, with revenue growing 9% year over year driven by 13% growth in Personal Systems and continued momentum in AI-focused devices. EPS of $0.86 exceeded consensus by approximately 21%, and management raised the full-year EPS outlook to $2.90-$3.10. The company has secured memory and storage supply for the full fiscal year through long-term agreements, partially mitigating commodity cost pressures. However, rising memory, storage, oil, and resin costs are expected to pressure margins in the second half, and the overall PC unit TAM continues to decline. Confidence is medium: management tone was confident and guidance was raised (bullish score 70), but persistent commodity cost headwinds, a declining PC unit TAM, and a negative market reaction despite the earnings beat temper the outlook. The stock trades at $26.86, well above the analyst consensus target of…

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $25.98B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +21.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.41B Consensus $13.99B
Revenue surprise +3.0% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPQ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.90 Q4 '23 actual $0.90, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.81 Q1 '24 actual $0.81, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.82, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.86 Q3 '24 actual $0.83, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.75, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $0.93, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.77 Q1 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.66 Q4 '26 estimate $0.67 Q1 '27 estimate $0.68 Q2 '27 estimate $0.73

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish1630.8%
Neutral2853.8%
Bearish815.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$26.86Current
$17Low
$27.05Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Jul 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Goldman Sachs Sell SellMaintainJun 2, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 28, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 28, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 28, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 28, 2026
Show 44 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $26.86. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$19$29.34 -29.3%Jun 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyErik Woodring$19$25.49 -29.3%May 28, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$20$25.49 -25.5%May 28, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$19$25.49 -29.3%May 28, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$17$21.07 -36.7%May 21, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$20$18.38 -25.5%Feb 19, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$22$18.45 -18.1%Feb 19, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$18$20.37 -33.0%Jan 20, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$20.61 -33.0%Jan 16, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$21$21.18 -21.8%Jan 13, 2026
See 31 more

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Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move +0.6% Same window
Abnormal move -2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -8.5% Up to 20 sessions
HPQSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth accelerated from 7% in Q1 to 9% in Q2, with Personal Systems strengthening to 13% YoY. Management raised the FY EPS outlook to $2.90-$3.10 from the prior stance of EPS trending toward the lower end of $2.90-$3.20. Memory and storage supply has now been secured for the full fiscal year via long-term agreements. New product launches include z workstations, AI stations, AI-enabled LaserJet printers, and the HP Multi Jet Fusion 1.2k 3D printer. A voluntary early retirement plan was announced, impacting Q2 restructuring charges. The software partnership portfolio expanded to include Zoom, CrowdStrike, GoodNotes, and 51+ partners.

Guidance delta

FY2026 EPS guidance was raised to $2.90-$3.10, up from the prior expectation of EPS at the lower end of $2.90-$3.20. Management introduced a target of $1 billion in gross annualized run-rate savings by FY28. The Q1 free cash flow target of $2.8-$3.0 billion was not explicitly revised in the Q2 commentary, which instead highlighted quarterly FCF of over $800 million and nearly $400 million in shareholder returns.

Key takeaways

  • Revenue grew 9% YoY with Personal Systems up 13%, driven by AI-focused devices and the Windows 11 refresh cycle
  • EPS of $0.86 beat consensus by approximately 21%, and the full-year EPS outlook was raised to $2.90-$3.10
  • Memory and storage supply secured for the full fiscal year through long-term agreements
  • Free cash flow exceeded $800 million with nearly $400 million returned to shareholders
  • New product launches include z workstations, AI stations, AI-enabled LaserJet printers, and the HP Multi Jet Fusion 1.2k 3D printer

Management priorities

  • Roll out new AI-focused z workstations and AI stations
  • Expand AI-enabled LaserJet printers and the HP IQ intelligence platform
  • Scale the All-In Plan subscription model globally
  • Continue HP Multi Jet Fusion 3D printer rollout
  • Achieve $1 billion in gross annualized run-rate savings by FY28

Related earnings events

Technology

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-28T01:22:28.571771+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T20:43:11.936059+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T20:43:11.932915+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.