Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. · MLM · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
Martin Marietta raises 2026 outlook as infrastructure demand holds
The Q3 analysis supports a constructive but conditional outlook: infrastructure and data-center demand, acquisitions, and pricing are supporting results, while diesel inflation and organic volume remain key offsets.
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Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the Q3 analysis reports raised 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance and a preliminary 2027 view for mid-to-high single-digit mix-adjusted price growth. It also highlights Lhoist integration contributions and more than doubled year-over-year data-center aggregate shipments.
Guidance delta
Raised for 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA; preliminary 2027 outlook points to mid-to-high single-digit mix-adjusted pricing growth.
Key takeaways
- Management’s analysis describes resilient infrastructure demand and strength in data-center, power-generation, and warehouse projects.
- Acquisitions, including Lhoist North America and New Frontier, are contributing as organic conditions remain mixed.
- The outlook includes higher 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance and a preliminary 2027 pricing view.
- Diesel and energy inflation, along with organic aggregate volumes, remain important execution variables.
Management priorities
- Continue integrating Lhoist North America and capture synergy benefits.
- Optimize the operating network and manage inventory, costs, and capital outlays.
- Pursue cross-selling opportunities while maintaining deleveraging targets.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 4, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 28, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 16, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 13, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| B. Riley Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Loop Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 28, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 14, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 16, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 12, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Peer Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 8, 2024 |
| HSBC | Hold | Reduce | Upgrade | Feb 22, 2024 |
| Atlantic Equities | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Jan 24, 2023 |
| BMO Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Nov 10, 2022 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Outperform | Neutral | Upgrade | Sep 20, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Oct 8, 2020 |
| ScotiaBank | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Sep 22, 2020 |
| CFRA | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 6, 2020 |
| Nomura | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Apr 17, 2020 |
| Stephens& Co. | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Feb 23, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 30, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 30, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Oct 15, 2019 |
| Longbow Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2019 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 3, 2019 |
| Cleveland Research | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 31, 2017 |
| BB&T Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 17, 2015 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | May 13, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 8, 2012 |
| Keybanc | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Sep 25, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $556.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel Nicolaus | Brian Brophy | $629 | $503.69 | +13.0% | Oct 28, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $640 | $503.35 | +15.0% | Oct 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $530 | $479.22 | -4.8% | Oct 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $662 | $478.83 | +18.9% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $625 | $482.49 | +12.3% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $579 | $482.49 | +4.0% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $585 | $490.64 | +5.1% | Sep 21, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | $609 | $511.98 | +9.4% | Sep 9, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $620 | $528.32 | +11.4% | Aug 28, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $625 | $533.11 | +12.3% | Aug 24, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $639 | $543.9 | +14.8% | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $648 | $543.74 | +16.4% | Aug 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $610 | $537.46 | +9.6% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $715 | $525.14 | +28.5% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $660 | $534.08 | +18.6% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $680 | $540 | +22.2% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $675 | $573.75 | +21.3% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | $616 | $594.17 | +10.7% | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Berenberg Bank | Analyst unavailable | $556 | $570.96 | -0.1% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $739 | $590.38 | +32.8% | May 10, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $730 | $606.92 | +31.2% | May 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Anthony Codling | $615 | $607.34 | +10.5% | May 4, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Analyst unavailable | $690 | $615.66 | +24.0% | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $608 | $630.8 | +9.2% | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $702 | $612.52 | +26.1% | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Philip Ng | $785 | $678.46 | +41.0% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Anthony Codling | $630 | $678.46 | +13.2% | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Angel Castillo | $706 | $654 | +26.9% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $575 | $679.83 | +3.3% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $735 | $673.25 | +32.1% | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Keith Hughes | $710 | $662.94 | +27.6% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $680 | $655.84 | +22.2% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $631 | $650.23 | +13.4% | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Analyst unavailable | $690 | $649.25 | +24.0% | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $690 | $633.37 | +24.0% | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Philip Ng | $730 | $628.44 | +31.2% | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $660 | $622.55 | +18.6% | Dec 1, 2025 |
| UBS | Steven Fisher | $723 | $606.07 | +29.9% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $690 | $602.07 | +24.0% | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Adam Seiden | $675 | $625.4 | +21.3% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | $620 | $629.61 | +11.4% | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $700 | $602.32 | +25.8% | Aug 4, 2025 |
| UBS | Steven Fisher | $491 | $484.97 | -11.8% | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Garik Shmois | $680 | $604.85 | +22.2% | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Garik Shmois | $600 | $537.78 | +7.8% | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Garik Shmois | $615 | $525.11 | +10.5% | Aug 13, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Anthony Pettinari | $646 | $533.55 | +16.1% | Aug 12, 2024 |
| Stephens | Trey Grooms | $610 | $538.98 | +9.6% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Timna Tanners | $575 | $538.98 | +3.3% | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Philip Ng | $665 | $577.46 | +19.5% | Jul 17, 2024 |
| D.A. Davidson | Brent Thielman | $675 | $583.1 | +21.3% | May 20, 2024 |
| HSBC | Wesley Brooks | $543 | $536.3 | -2.4% | Feb 22, 2024 |
| Seaport Global | Rohit Seth | $520 | $414.72 | -6.6% | Oct 24, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $399 | $368.73 | -28.3% | Dec 14, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $395 | $352.5 | -29.0% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Patrick Tyler Brown | $380 | $337.16 | -31.7% | Nov 6, 2022 |
| J.P. Morgan | Analyst unavailable | $410 | $329.27 | -26.3% | Sep 22, 2022 |
| Raymond James | Patrick Tyler | $410 | $367.55 | -26.3% | Aug 18, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $420 | $352.5 | -24.5% | Aug 1, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $394 | $314.72 | -29.2% | Jul 18, 2022 |
| Wolfe Research | Analyst unavailable | $384 | $309.69 | -31.0% | Jul 14, 2022 |
| D.A. Davidson | Brent Thielman | $375 | $299.24 | -32.6% | Jul 1, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $443 | $343.08 | -20.4% | May 6, 2022 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $455 | $359.89 | -18.2% | May 5, 2022 |
| Berenberg Bank | Daniel Wang | $389 | $378.28 | -30.1% | Sep 2, 2021 |
| J.P. Morgan | Adrian Huerta | $385 | $365.89 | -30.8% | May 26, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. functions as a company specializing in natural resource-derived building materials. This enterprise delivers a wide range of aggregates and other heavy construction components to the building industry, serving both domestic and international markets. Its product portfolio includes foundational raw materials like crushed stone, sand, and gravel, in addition to manufactured items such as ready-mix concrete, asphalt, and comprehensive paving solutions.…
Historical context
All MLM earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +2.1% | -4.9% | IFF lifts 2026 guidance, but Health & Biosciences remains a pressure point |
| HL-PB Hecla Mining Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +54.0% | — | Hecla reports record Q3 cash flow and raises silver outlook |
| MOS The Mosaic Company | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -1656.0% | +17.4% | Mosaic Q3: Cost Discipline Meets Sulfur and Phosphate Constraints |
| TX Ternium S.A. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -24.9% | -0.0% | Ternium: Mexico strength offsets Brazil and import risks |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- IFFFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+2.1% EPS-4.9% move
- JKHYFY2027 Q1 · November 3, 2026+10.1% EPS+10.8% move
- HL-PBFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+54.0% EPS— move
- SUFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+20.9% EPS-4.5% move
- AFGFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+4.5% EPS+1.0% move
- WTRGFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+13.7% EPS+2.5% move
Missed on EPS
- OHIFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-42.5% EPS+3.5% move
- MOSFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-1656.0% EPS+17.4% move
- OVVFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-2.0% EPS-5.1% move
- BSACFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-20.0% EPS-3.0% move
- TXFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-24.9% EPS-0.0% move
- CHTFY2026 Q3 · November 4, 2026-55.7% EPS+0.9% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-04T20:07:20.159266+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-04T01:23:13.345574+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-04T21:50:49.022383+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-04T21:50:49.017454+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-04. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.