HP Inc. · HPQ · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

HP Reaffirms FY2025 Outlook as AI PCs and Cost Savings Advance

HP's maintained FY2025 outlook rests on commercial PC demand, AI PC adoption, premium mix, subscription services and structural cost savings. The evidence is constructive but not conclusive because tariffs, commodity costs, inventory and competition could offset operating gains.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $27.62B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.74
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $13.35B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -6.8% Event window
SPY move +1.6% Same window
Abnormal move -8.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.6% Up to 20 sessions
HPQSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter added emphasis on AI integration through the Humane asset acquisition, new AI PC launches and supply-chain diversification. Management also raised the structural cost-savings target to $1.9 billion while keeping FY2025 guidance unchanged.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed FY2025 guidance and pointed to stronger second-half performance.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 FY2025 revenue grew 2% year over year, driven by Personal Systems and commercial PC demand.
  • Management is emphasizing AI PCs, including new EliteBook and Zbook models, and AI integration through Humane assets.
  • A $1.9 billion structural cost-savings target is intended to offset macro and tariff pressure.
  • Supply-chain diversification is designed to reduce China exposure, while subscription printer offerings remain a growth initiative.

Management priorities

  • Launch new AI PC models and integrate Humane AI technology across devices and edge products.
  • Expand Smart Tank and Instant Paper subscription offerings.
  • Diversify supply chains away from China.
  • Accelerate structural cost savings toward the $1.9 billion target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HPQ EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.81 Q1 '24 actual $0.81, match Q2 '24 estimate $0.81 Q2 '24 actual $0.82, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.86 Q3 '24 actual $0.83, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.74 Q3 '25 actual $0.75, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.92 Q4 '25 actual $0.93, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.77 Q1 '26 actual $0.81, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.71 Q2 '26 actual $0.86, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.66 Q3 '26 actual $0.83, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.70
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold52 ratings
Bullish1630.8%
Neutral2853.8%
Bearish815.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$29.45Current
$17Low
$28.1Average
$37High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 27, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 27, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 27, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $29.44. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$33$32.73 +12.1%Sep 10, 2026
BarclaysTim Long$23$29.63 -21.9%Aug 28, 2026
BernsteinMark Newman$32$30.52 +8.7%Aug 27, 2026
UBSDavid Vogt$28$30.52 -4.9%Aug 27, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$32$29.15 +8.7%Aug 24, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HP Inc. is a global technology company specializing in personal computing devices, imaging and printing solutions, and a variety of related technologies, software, and support services, serving clients both in the United States and worldwide. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers a broad array of computing hardware, including desktop and laptop personal computers for both business and individual consumers, along with specialized workstations, thin clients, commercial mobile devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays, and various peripherals. This division also encompasses essential software, support, and associated services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-13T00:00:14.471520+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T13:20:44.607313+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T13:20:44.604637+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.