Genuine Parts Company · GPC · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Genuine Parts raises revenue outlook as backlog and margins improve

The quarter provides evidence for a constructive operating trajectory: demand improved across both segments, margins expanded, backlog grew, and revenue guidance increased. The evidence is mixed rather than conclusive because the EPS outlook was narrowed and management still faces European weakness, cost pressure, tariff uncertainty, and a sizable planned pension charge.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $17.40B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.98 Consensus $2.02
EPS surprise -2.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.26B Consensus $6.06B
Revenue surprise +3.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.0% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +2.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.2% Up to 20 sessions
GPCSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management's tone shifted from cautious to confident: revenue guidance was raised, gross-margin expansion continued, backlog momentum strengthened, and the company highlighted Benson Auto Parts and supply-chain investments. The key counterweight is a narrower earnings outlook and continued exposure to Europe, tariffs, inflation, and pension-related costs.

Guidance delta

Revenue guidance was raised to 3–4% growth, while the adjusted EPS outlook was narrowed.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 sales grew about 5% year over year, with comparable improvement in automotive and industrial.
  • Gross margin expanded 60 basis points and adjusted EBITDA increased 10%.
  • A large-order backlog grew about 20% sequentially, while Europe remained muted.

Management priorities

  • Complete the Benson Auto Parts acquisition in Q4.
  • Open new U.S. NAPA distribution centers and modernize the supply chain and IT network.
  • Advance the Motion backlog and OEM relationships while continuing the strategic review.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GPC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $6B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $6B Q2 '24 actual $6B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $6B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $6B Q2 '25 actual $6B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $6B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $6B Q4 '25 actual $6B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '26 actual $6B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $6B Q2 '26 actual $7B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $6B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $6B Q2 '27 estimate $7B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1043.5%
Neutral1252.2%
Bearish14.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$126.24Current
$122Low
$156.91Average
$183High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 6, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 22, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 22, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeNov 13, 2025
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $126.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$170$129.17 +34.7%Aug 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$126$121.38 -0.2%Jul 22, 2026
Raymond JamesSam Darkatsh$165$121.95 +30.7%Jul 22, 2026
UBSMichael Lasser$122$119.12 -3.4%Jul 22, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$150$125.92 +18.8%Jul 6, 2026
See 21 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Genuine Parts Company, established in Atlanta, Georgia in 1928, functions as a prominent global distributor specializing in automotive and industrial replacement parts, alongside associated materials. The company’s operations are segmented into its Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group. The Automotive Parts Group supplies an extensive inventory of replacement components for a wide spectrum of vehicles, including hybrid and electric models, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational and farm vehicles, small engines, marine equipment, and heavy-duty machinery, as well as various accessory and supply items. Its diverse clientele encompasses automotive repair facilities, service stations, fleet operators, vehicle dealerships (cars and trucks), leasing firms, bus and truck lines, large-scale retailers, farms, industrial enterprises, and individual consumers. Concurrently, the Industrial Parts Group distributes critical industrial replacement parts and supplies.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-06T03:20:42.379698+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-06T03:20:42.376766+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-06. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.