Genuine Parts Company · GPC · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026

GPC posts solid Q3 as industrial demand offsets automotive pressure

The supplied analysis supports a mixed but constructive operating picture: resilient industrial demand, margin expansion and execution on the separation plan are positives, while automotive retail softness and cost inflation constrain the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $17.95B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.04
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $6.49B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -1.9% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift 0.0% Up to 20 sessions
GPCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis adds Q3 evidence of 4% sales growth, 11% industrial EBITDA growth and 70 basis points of gross-margin expansion. The separation remains on schedule, while the analysis more specifically identifies a $16 million Q3 EBITDA impact from the Iran conflict and continued automotive retail pressure.

Guidance delta

Management guidance sentiment was maintained; the supplied analysis does not identify a new quantitative guidance change.

Key takeaways

  • Management's analysis says Q3 sales grew 4% to $6.5 billion, while industrial EBITDA rose 11% and gross margin expanded 70 basis points.
  • The planned separation into GPC and Motion remains on schedule for Q1 2027, with leadership appointments announced.
  • Management highlighted automation, robotics and new distribution centers as productivity and service investments.
  • Inflation, fuel and freight costs, and the Iran conflict remain margin pressures; automotive retail is softer while commercial and industrial demand is resilient.

Management priorities

  • Complete the planned spin-off into GPC and Motion by Q1 2027.
  • Hold December Investor Days for strategic updates.
  • Open a second automated NAPA distribution center in the U.S. by year-end.
  • Scale supply-chain robotics and automation while expanding product mix and supporting independent owners.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GPC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.16 Q1 '24 actual $2.22, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.59 Q2 '24 actual $2.44, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.42 Q3 '24 actual $1.88, miss Q2 '25 estimate $2.06 Q2 '25 actual $2.10, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.98, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.82 Q4 '25 actual $1.55, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.75 Q1 '26 actual $1.77, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.08 Q2 '26 actual $2.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.04 Q4 '26 estimate $1.78 Q1 '27 estimate $1.94 Q2 '27 estimate $2.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1043.5%
Neutral1252.2%
Bearish14.3%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$126.37Current
$122Low
$156.91Average
$183High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
DA Davidson Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainJul 22, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 22, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $126.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$170$129.17 +34.5%Aug 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$126$121.38 -0.3%Jul 22, 2026
Raymond JamesSam Darkatsh$165$121.95 +30.6%Jul 22, 2026
UBSMichael Lasser$122$119.12 -3.5%Jul 22, 2026
D.A. DavidsonChris Dankert$150$125.92 +18.7%Jul 6, 2026
See 21 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Genuine Parts Company, established in Atlanta, Georgia in 1928, functions as a prominent global distributor specializing in automotive and industrial replacement parts, alongside associated materials. The company’s operations are segmented into its Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group. The Automotive Parts Group supplies an extensive inventory of replacement components for a wide spectrum of vehicles, including hybrid and electric models, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational and farm vehicles, small engines, marine equipment, and heavy-duty machinery, as well as various accessory and supply items. Its diverse clientele encompasses automotive repair facilities, service stations, fleet operators, vehicle dealerships (cars and trucks), leasing firms, bus and truck lines, large-scale retailers, farms, industrial enterprises, and individual consumers. Concurrently, the Industrial Parts Group distributes critical industrial replacement parts and supplies.…

Historical context

All GPC earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +5.8% -2.0% Crown Holdings: Volume Growth Offsets Inflation in Q3
GM General Motors Company FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — -7.3% GM raises 2027 targets as trucks, software and defense drive growth
HAS Hasbro, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 — +5.8% Hasbro raises guidance as Magic and margins drive record profitability

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-10-20T16:03:35.176075+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-10-20T01:23:14.154112+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T18:20:47.414795+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T18:20:47.412003+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.