Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish1043.5%
Neutral1252.2%
Bearish14.3%
Genuine Parts Company · GPC · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
Genuine Parts: Separation Plan Meets Cautious 2026 Outlook
The call supports a mixed thesis: replacement-parts demand, e-commerce, acquisitions, pricing, and productivity initiatives provide support, but the Q4 miss, European weakness, independent-owner softness, inflation, and separation execution risks limit confidence in a straightforward near-term growth case.
Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical
$17.66B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$1.55
Consensus $1.82
EPS surprise
-14.8%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$6.00B
Consensus $6.06B
Revenue surprise
-1.0%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-14.6%
Event window
SPY move
+0.2%
Same window
Abnormal move
-14.7%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
3.6×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-18.2%
Up to 20 sessions
GPCSPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about GPC FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did GPC fall 14.6% after missing EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in GPC's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for GPC after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.
Transcript intelligence
What changed
The current analysis adds the planned separation into Global Automotive and Global Industrial, a $742 million one-time pension settlement charge, and the effect of the First Brands Group bankruptcy and supplier shift. Compared with the prior quarter, guidance sentiment moved from raised to maintained while management's tone became cautious.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its 2026 outlook, following a prior-quarter guidance raise; the supplied analysis describes the outlook as modest sales and EPS growth with continued cost-inflation headwinds.
Key takeaways
- FY 2025 revenue growth and margin expansion were tempered by a Q4 earnings miss.
- Management plans to separate Global Automotive and Global Industrial into two public companies, targeted for completion in 2027.
- The 2026 framework emphasizes modest growth, stable capex, productivity programs, and disciplined bolt-on acquisitions.
- Weak European markets, softer independent-owner sales, and cost inflation remain key operating pressures.
Management priorities
- Execute the planned separation and investor-day process.
- Invest in IT and supply-chain modernization while keeping capex stable.
- Pursue disciplined bolt-on acquisitions and transformation programs aimed at productivity and margin expansion.
- Maintain investment-grade credit ratings for both future entities.
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Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$126.81Current
$122Low
$156.91Average
$183High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Nov 13, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Wedbush | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jul 21, 2023 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jun 1, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Apr 23, 2021 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 2, 2020 |
| CFRA | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 6, 2020 |
| Argus | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| Gabelli & Co. | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jul 21, 2017 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jun 18, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee CRT | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 4, 2015 |
| Sterne Agee | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 4, 2015 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Aug 28, 2014 |
| BB&T Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 19, 2013 |
| Wunderlich Securities | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 17, 2013 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 17, 2013 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $126.81. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $170 | $129.17 | +34.1% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $126 | $121.38 | -0.6% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Sam Darkatsh | $165 | $121.95 | +30.1% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Lasser | $122 | $119.12 | -3.8% | Jul 22, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Chris Dankert | $150 | $125.92 | +18.3% | Jul 6, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $145 | $104.64 | +14.3% | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Raymond James | Sam Darkatsh | $145 | $116.16 | +14.3% | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Greg Melich | $160 | $118.56 | +26.2% | Feb 20, 2026 |
| UBS | Michael Lasser | $135 | $125.74 | +6.5% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $127 | $125.74 | +0.1% | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $162 | $149.01 | +27.8% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $175 | $148.44 | +38.0% | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Greg Melich | $155 | $146.92 | +22.2% | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Truist Financial | Analyst unavailable | $146 | $133.74 | +15.1% | Oct 21, 2025 |
| UBS | Michael Lasser | $140 | $131.52 | +10.4% | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $150 | $138.66 | +18.3% | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Greg Melich | $135 | $116.81 | +6.5% | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Bank of America Securities | Elizabeth Suzuki | $125 | $116.24 | -1.4% | Oct 24, 2024 |
| UBS | Michael Lasser | $125 | $113.11 | -1.4% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| UBS | Michael Lasser | $150 | $135.98 | +18.3% | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Wedbush | Seth Basham | $170 | $160.78 | +34.1% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Scot Ciccarelli | $183 | $160.23 | +44.3% | Apr 19, 2024 |
| CFRA | Garrett Nelson | $180 | $160.36 | +41.9% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Scot Ciccarelli | $167 | $154.28 | +31.7% | Apr 2, 2024 |
| CFRA | Garrett Nelson | $160 | $143.71 | +26.2% | Feb 15, 2024 |
| Truist Financial | Scot Ciccarelli | $191 | $157.19 | +50.6% | Jul 21, 2023 |
Track every rating change on GPC the moment it posts. Free to start.
Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationGenuine Parts Company, established in Atlanta, Georgia in 1928, functions as a prominent global distributor specializing in automotive and industrial replacement parts, alongside associated materials. The company’s operations are segmented into its Automotive Parts Group and Industrial Parts Group. The Automotive Parts Group supplies an extensive inventory of replacement components for a wide spectrum of vehicles, including hybrid and electric models, trucks, SUVs, buses, motorcycles, recreational and farm vehicles, small engines, marine equipment, and heavy-duty machinery, as well as various accessory and supply items. Its diverse clientele encompasses automotive repair facilities, service stations, fleet operators, vehicle dealerships (cars and trucks), leasing firms, bus and truck lines, large-scale retailers, farms, industrial enterprises, and individual consumers. Concurrently, the Industrial Parts Group distributes critical industrial replacement parts and supplies.…
Historical context
All GPC earningsConsumer Cyclical peers this season
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
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- GISFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+4.6% EPS+1.0% move
Get the GPC recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T16:31:04.968934+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T16:31:04.966192+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.