General Motors Company · GM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

GM Maintains Outlook as Cash Generation and Software Momentum Continue

The supplied analysis supports a balanced thesis: GM's maintained outlook, cash generation, U.S. market-share gains, and software expansion provide support, while EV profitability, tariffs, costs, and execution remain the key conditions to monitor.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Cyclical $72.93B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.51 Consensus $2.26
EPS surprise +11.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $45.29B Consensus $46.10B
Revenue surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +8.7% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +8.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
GMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment remained maintained. The current analysis adds emphasis on the 2026 EBIT and North America margin outlook, planned vehicle launches, the 2028 LMR battery roadmap, international Super Cruise expansion, and AI-enabled manufacturing.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook. The supplied analysis highlights a 2026 adjusted EBIT target of $13–15 billion and North America margins of 8–10%.

Key takeaways

  • Management described strong cash generation and continued U.S. market-share gains, while keeping its outlook unchanged.
  • The operating plan balances ICE and EV investment, with cost reduction and a new LMR battery chemistry positioned as part of the EV profitability roadmap.
  • OnStar and Super Cruise remain important software and services growth areas, with global expansion planned.
  • The main debate is execution: tariff and chip assumptions, warranty costs, pricing, and the timing of manufacturing and software investments.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale the Equinox in Kansas and Blazer in Tennessee, alongside additional vehicle programs.
  • Advance the next-generation small-block V8, LMR battery chemistry, software-defined vehicles, and AI-enabled manufacturing.
  • Expand Super Cruise internationally and diversify GM Financial funding through its industrial-bank initiative.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
GM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $41B Q1 '24 actual $43B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $45B Q2 '24 actual $48B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $45B Q3 '24 actual $49B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $46B Q2 '25 actual $47B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $45B Q3 '25 actual $49B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $46B Q4 '25 actual $45B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $44B Q1 '26 actual $44B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $47B Q2 '26 actual $48B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $49B Q4 '26 estimate $45B Q1 '27 estimate $45B Q2 '27 estimate $49B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy51 ratings
Bullish3466.7%
Neutral1325.5%
Bearish47.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$80.47Current
$33Low
$78.02Average
$130High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Tigress Financial Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Jefferies Buy HoldUpgradeJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Underweight UnderweightMaintainJul 22, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 46 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $80.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$33$81.95 -59.0%Sep 24, 2026
UBSJoseph Spak$114$85.62 +41.7%Sep 14, 2026
Tigress FinancialIvan Feinseth$130$90.3 +61.6%Jul 28, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$99$82.64 +23.0%Jul 27, 2026
Deutsche BankEdison Yu$100$82.46 +24.3%Jul 22, 2026
See 114 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

General Motors Company, a prominent global automotive enterprise, is engaged in the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a wide array of vehicles—including trucks, crossovers (SUVs), and passenger cars—along with related parts and accessories. Its expansive reach covers numerous regions such as North America, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, South America, with significant operations in the United States and China. The company organizes its business into distinct segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise, and GM Financial. It markets its diverse vehicle lineup under well-known brand names like Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC, Holden, Baojun, and Wuling. Beyond selling to individual consumers through dealerships, GM also supplies its vehicles—including specialized models—to a variety of fleet clients, such as daily rental companies, commercial businesses, leasing firms, and government agencies.…

Historical context

All GM earnings

Consumer Cyclical peers this season

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T18:41:02.428226+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T18:41:02.425437+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.